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plo50, c/r AAxx + oesd vs reg

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Villian is 23/15/9 over 500 hands, no special reads, altough his quite stationy... he once called my 3barrel with a Q hih fd without any reads on me.

UTG is a 100vpip whale

Is this a good spot to go for a turn checkraise?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (MP): $50 (100 bb)
CO: $50 (100 bb)
BTN: $43.63 (87.3 bb)
SB: $15.57 (31.1 bb)
BB: $56.69 (113.4 bb)
UTG: $119.81 (239.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A 8 A T
UTG calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, CO calls $2.25, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.75

Flop: ($7.50) J 2 9 (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $5, CO calls $5, UTG folds

Turn: ($17.50) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks,


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3 replies
semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

Looks tricky. 2nd Barrel should be better here. With the C/R you need deadly reads on his betsizing/bettingrange on the turn.


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

I would also prefer to 2nd barrel!


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

The 5 really doesn't change much and if villain had 2 pair on the flop I really would expect him to raise right away. So that said I think you still have the best hand more often than not, and even if you dont, you have plenty of outs to justify not folding at least.

I like the idea of going for a checkraise because of all the scary river cards, it would suck to bet and for villain to call. This really is a board where if you check the turn, villain will bet a lot of the time here as a semi bluff (since it looks like he has a draw and a check from you shows a lot of weakness typically).

But with him being a station I would just bet full pot, against anyone else with aggressive tendancies (or just a winning player in general) I would go for a checkraise.


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