Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BTN: $43.28 (173.1 bb)
Hero (SB): $25 (100 bb)
BB: $24.41 (97.6 bb)
UTG: $25.87 (103.5 bb)
MP: $66.63 (266.5 bb)
CO: $25 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with J
Q
UTG calls $0.25, 2 folds, BTN raises to $0.62, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.38
Flop: ($4.50) 3
7
8
(2 players)
Hero bets $2.55, BTN calls $2.55
Turn: ($9.60) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.54, BTN calls $4.54
River: ($18.68) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $8.92, Hero folds
Results:
Spoiler
$18.68 pot ($1.02 rake)
Final Board: 3 7 8 9 7
BTN mucked and won $17.66 ($8.57 net)
Hero mucked J Q and lost (-$9.09 net)
VPIP: 45, PFR: 34, 3B: 6, AF: 3,8, Hands: 186
PF is tricky.
He has a huge stealing range (62) and yeah I know this is no steal but a limp from UTG and a 2.5x R from BU tells me he didn't even notice that.
Either way BU PFR is 33, so still big range.
On the SB I have a value hand against him but also speculative.
In these cases I'm never sure on what to do because if I raise I could be happy that he folds (fold to 3Bet 79), and pretty ok if he calls (but not too much) as I still have a speculative hand and I can always pot control in case I get TPs and the like, but not so well given OOP.
If I call it's definitely better for value but at the same time I find myself OOP with a speculative/semi-value hand, which I hate, strongly, and there's also the danger of the CC from BB (no squeeze danger tho from current BB).
In this case I opt for a Raise given the bad player he is, and the low WTSD he has (17).
He calls my 3Bet, and my CBet bluff at this point I think is wrong, as his range after calling 3Bet is not too wide, and I don't have much equity except for a very unlikely BD straight.
On turn I carry on my mistake in the hope he folds with his low WTSD but well after calling turn too, I'm doomed.
