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11$ Cool Million - 99 vs two AI

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kolacar
Joined: 15.05.2010

Full Tilt Poker The Cool Million No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1200/t2400 Blinds + t300 - 9 players - View hand 2118143
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t22944 M = 3.64
Hero (BB): t25368 M = 4.03
UTG: t30219 M = 4.80
UTG+1: t9855 M = 1.56
UTG+2: t37952 M = 6.02
MP1: t21577 M = 3.42
MP2: t61984 M = 9.84
CO: t35926 M = 5.70
BTN: t15060 M = 2.39

Pre Flop: (t6300) Hero is BB with 9 :club: 9 :spade:
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t9555 all in, 2 folds, MP2 raises to t61684 all in, 3 folds, Hero requests TIME, 1 fold

Flop: (t25410) 6 :heart: Q :diamond: 5 :spade: (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: (t25410) 9 :heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t25410) Q :heart: (2 players - 2 are all in)

We are 1.2*AVG, approaching to bubble.
UTG+1 20/18/16.7 over 30 hands
MP2 is 12/11/19.0 over 60 hands
Is fold correct here?


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3 replies
Agiz19
Joined: 19.03.2007

the fold is correct in my opinion , you are likely to be dominated most of times and hiting that 9 is just so little of chance, fold and get paid ITM :)


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Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

Hey kolacar!

Lets give them some ranges to make a nash calculation:

Utg (could shove 36%, but this range is more realistic)
30.0%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K5s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s

mp2 (could shove way more than my range here BUT is probably calling off a big part and just overshoving really strong hands)

7.8%, 77+ ATs+ AJo+ KQs

against these tight ranges we can call!

5.6%, 88+ AQs+ AQo+

SO please call 99s, in some cases utg is loser and mp2 too! So thats def. a spot where you can stack off 99 with a good feeling ;)

Greets,
Tiltberger


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kolacar
Joined: 15.05.2010

TY Tiltberger on your advice.
As you can see, I folded there. I guess that this is difference between good players and ultimate ones.
Best regards


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