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NL50 SH AKo

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Atalol
Joined: 10.05.2011

BB: $58.84 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 2,4, Hands: 707
Hero (UTG): $50.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 3,3, Hands: 61317
MP: $50.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 4, 3B: 5, AF: 2,5, Hands: 232
CO: $74.91 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 3,4, Hands: 1821
BTN: $56.56 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 2,2, Hands: 3295
SB: $22.34 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 1,7, Hands: 128

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A :heart: K :spade:
Hero raises to $2, MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB calls $1.75, 1 fold

Flop: ($6.50) K :heart: 2 :diamond: T :diamond: (3 players)
SB bets $6.50, Hero raises to $17, MP folds, SB raises to $20.34, Hero calls $3.34

Turn: ($47.18) 9 :diamond: (2 players)

River: ($47.18) 9 :spade: (2 players)

Okey so donking pot into 2 players wheather you are fish or reg is kinda screaming VALUE! So my question is: have I estimated his value range good:
pl.pokerstrategy.com
Flop: Td2dKh
Equity Win Tie
Hero 46.41% 41.41% 5.00% { AhKs }
MP3 53.59% 48.59% 5.00% { KK+, TT, 22, AKs, KQs, AdQd, AdJd, QdJd, QhJh, KQo, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc }

If I assume that I will stack him on flop then it's correct stackof due to 6,50$ that is already there (if the range is correct) because we need only 43% Equity. What are your thoughts and what stat you look for here to determine range better?

Thanks
:spade:Ata


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by Atalol
If I assume that I will stack him on flop then it's correct stackof due to 6,50$ that is already there (if the range is correct) because we need only 43% Equity.

This is not correct. This would mean you have enough equity to call an all-in vs villain. In order to shove profitably for value against any villain you need his range that calls to have less than 50% equity against you which it wouldn't given the range you assigned him. (It would only be a small mistake though, and the hand overall would still be +EV, just not max EV.)

However, I think villains range is probably wider than the one you assigned him anyway. He can have a lot more draws than just monster draws. It's useful to check opponents donk-bet stat also, some players never donk while others do it all the time.

Overall I think the hand is played fine.


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