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KQxx ds oop

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Timmaywin
Joined: 23.02.2010

I have 99 hands of MP, he plays 18/5/0,8/0 VPIP/PFR/postflopAF/3bet%

I put him on a straight on the flop, but since he min3bets I decide to call. I wonder if I should have bet-raised-broke instead, since I have full house outs and a flushdraw? The turn doesn't improve my hand and I think the best is to check-fold here. But it could be a check-call against player who has flushdraws in their range? Although the river might be a split pot, he has an A in his range as well for the better straight, so I folded.

(if I had bet-raised the flop and villain had just called and the blank came on the turn, it's a check-fold?)

PokerStars Zoom Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.02 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

Button ($0.63)
SB ($1.57)
BB ($3.49)
Hero (UTG) ($2.04)
MP ($2.25)
CO ($3.68)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, 2, 9, K
Hero bets $0.06, MP calls $0.06, CO calls $0.06, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.21) J, 9, Q (3 players)
Hero bets $0.11, MP raises to $0.22, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.11

Turn: ($0.65) 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.42, Hero calls $0.42

River: ($1.49) 10 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.90, Hero....


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4 replies
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I would snap call this river. Villain knows you don't have AK because you would donk the river for full pot, so he can value bet KQ knowing it's good.

If he had AK himself he should be potting the river since he can get paid off by KQ so I really think this is a chop.

Of course there is the slight chance he was bluffing the flop and turn with a hand like KK33. It's hard putting him on a nut straight on the turn where there are 2 flush draws showing, so it is possible that this bet sizing represents either AKTx or KT with a flush draw.


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Timmaywin
Joined: 23.02.2010

Ok, thanks Ribbo. I didn't think of the bluffs he can have, good point.

But what about the postflop play? I know you're not much of a 3better, but is it a good option to go broke on such a flop with full house and flush outs?


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

board: Q♥ J♥ 9♠

K♥ Q♣ 9♣ 2♥ 49.93%
K T * * 50.07%

If the pot is bigger on the flop then sure, go broke. The bigger a pot is, the wider someone's range is that they will shove. But as this shows, against a nut straight you are flipping.


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BluffinBilbo
Joined: 04.07.2009

Also, in case you didnt know:

flop: Q :heart: J :heart: 9 :spade:

Q :diamond: K :heart: 2 :heart: Q :club: 62.17%
KT** 37.83%


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