Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,980)
BB ($6,175)
UTG ($5,815)
UTG+1 ($5,970)
UTG+2 ($5,910)
MP1 ($6,315)
MP2 ($5,950)
CO ($5,855)
Hero ($6,030)
Dealt to Hero A♠ J♦
fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $60, SB raises to $145, fold, Hero calls $85
FLOP ($310) 4♥ Q♦ K♠
SB bets $155, Hero calls $155
TURN ($620) 4♥ Q♦ K♠ 2♥
SB checks, Hero ????
The guy seem to be a regular but pretty aggresive at this point. 30/25 w/ 7% 3bet for 120 hands.
My question is, do we bet the turn?
I think by betting the turn we get called by almost any hand that beats us exept some PPs like 55-TT maybe although Im not sure how often he 3bets 55-99 here.
I think even if he have any of those he will most likely check/fold them on the river too.
The downside about checking back is prolly that we are giving him the chance to bluff us on the river although we are repping SD value and if he think about our range, he will prolly not gonna try to bluff us of a Qx.
Tho we cannot be sure what kind of player he is so I think betting>checking?