AQs Value??

Hi.

I am only going for 2 streets of value here. Any more than that is very likely to be overplay. Don't forget he can have some QT JT type of hands in his range and there's no guarantee that he calls with worse AX hands vs the 3rd barrel.

Thanks.

Never ever if he is not a monster fish.

You cbet into 3 opponents which already shows a lot of strength.

I dont even see a valuebet on the Turn because your kicker doesnt play anymore and I would never expect him to peel Kx again and you could get raised off your hand when he takes this line with JT,QT,QJ. The only reason behind barreling the River would be to get him off a chop, but you cant exclude that he has QJ or Tx some percentage of the time in his range OTR.

Easy check back River.

Edit: Damn, too late ♦

turn is actually pretty close IMO between a bet and check

1) We are chopping with all AX hands so there's technically no value

2) We are an equity favourite vs those hands though, when we have a flush draw to go along with our hand, so you can argue that we are making a value bet on the Turn

Board: AhKdTsTd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 62.50% 31.82% 30.68% { AdQd }
MP3 37.50% 6.82% 30.68% { AJs, AJo }

3) I would definitely bet if it was the 2 of diamond, the pairing of the Ten makes this a lot worse.

Board: TsAhKdTd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 52.16% 31.67% 20.49% { AdQd }
MP3 47.84% 27.35% 20.49% { AJs-A4s, KTs, QTs+, JTs, AJo }

You can see here that the value is really thin and marginal. If he has every single suited ace here then this would be more of a bet, I'm not sure if that's true though when he's playing 20/14. But I also gave him all the suited broadways with TX here so if he has all of those he is likely to have all the suited Aces too.