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NL5 - KK, overpair vs raise on the flop

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datalogg
Joined: 13.05.2011
PokerStrategist

SB ($1.83)
Hero ($4.93)

Dealt to Hero K♥ K♣

Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.18, fold

FLOP ($0.45) 2♠ 8♣ 6♣

SB checks, Hero bets $0.30, SB raises to $0.70, Hero ?

I have no stats for this villain, just had 10 hands and it was actually the first one he played.
On a very similar situation I posted before, again with KK and facing a raise on the flop, but with a scary board of 789, I was told to fold because a lot of two-pair/set/straight were possible.
Now, there are no made straights and two-pair are unlikely to have called preflop. So I think it is either a set or an overpair.
There are more overpairs (99-QQ, 24 hands) than sets (9 hands) with this flop. But I don't know how often one could check-raise an overpair on the flop.
So, raise again (actually put him all in on this occasion) or fold?


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Hi Datalogg,

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: In this particular case i think that we can go broke with the hand. He is quite short, we have a backdoor flush (5% equity) and you are correct that he can have worse hands raising.


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