Midlife Crisis? What Midlife Crisis?

pre first i much prefer to squeeze,

villain open OTB and can have close to A2C, SB calls and is a fish so very weak range as well in general... By squeezing we are likely to isolate the fish IP or anyway play vs rages that we dominate or we are not to bad against

As Played.

we flop a set woohoo. I am happy to go broke even with bottom set in this situation. As said before we are playing vs weak range so we are more than likely ahead. So I would size my bet to be all in by the river.

so $20 -> $42 -> shove

you get value of 2 pairs and AK hands and lose vs Flushes but a flush might raise you the turn. Also many will fold FD when having to call $20 in a pot of $37 (even with someone behind as he could get 3bet given the pot odds ).

As played:

Pre: I like a call, not much to discuss.

Flop: Check-raise to 20 is fine, I'd prefer ~ 22-24 though.

Turn: Hero is not afraid of one of the ugliest cards in the deck and bets. So we probably think i) we are ahead and ii) Villain will call weaker hands.

River: Totally blanks but we don't bet even though we just have been happy about our hand on F and T. Following Hero's logic I'd expect a value bet of ~ 72. We would fold to a push, there is no hand in Villain's range that we beat after how the hand played out.

My approach:

Flop: Check-raise ~ 22-24. Once BU cbets and then calls my check-raise after the fish has called the initial bet, his range should be very straight forward: KQ, JT, many FDs. I'd heavily discount KK, QQ (our line looks strong, BU will mostly 3b the F to get it in vs our KQ, 66, combo draws ... ) as well as GSs+bdFDs like Ts9s, AsTs, AsJs because those hands are weak without much equity and the fish can still ship over as he is left to act.

Turn: My line vs a solid reg would be to check, I would also check low flushes if I check-raised those or a semi-bluff that hit a straight now like AsTs, I pretty much check my whole range here, maybe even the nut flush, that depends a bit on villain and our history. I dont think AcQx calls the F, AcKx is possible. Thats one of the few hands we could get value on the T and which we give a freecard to. Other than that we learn more about Villain's hand by checking. Flushes will bet to charge our sets/2pairs/straights and we can still bluff shove any club on the R (only the nut flush will call as our line reps Acx very well, e.g. AcJh we might play that well in Villains perception of us, also if he thinks a little bit about it, we have to turn sets, 2 pairs or straights into a bluff. Nobody does that, hence low flushes will fold to a R AI push. If we fill up we would also ship into him, given the price BU gets he will call mostly and we have to be afraid that he checks back on especially a K or a Q as now even top2 made a FH.

River: Depends a lot on T betsize and timing. If villain bets big on the 4d we have to fold as our set wont be good often enough.

Ok enough writing, MPC public coaching starts in 15 mins, Awesomeo will be in the spotlight tonight

JB asked me to forward you this message while he is balling it up from Mauritius and analyzing waves at the beach:

JB: I have been banned and won't be posting until next week.

University of Mauritius seems to block PokerStrategy ♦ They deserve some DDoS attacks imo http://www.uom.ac.mu/

I think we are not looking at the same hand.

In the hand I am looking at the BTN is the pfr. The SB donks and we raise his Donk. BTN calls our raise.

There is no cbet.
There is no check raise.

Correct ♦ Fully focused hand review hahah

Close enough, change "cbet" to "donk" and "check-raise" to rase ... it shouldnt make much of a difference in the hand.

I actually meant that scenario, but used wrong expressions when I wrote my post. Im getting old ....

Originally posted by TwiceT
Im getting old ....

welcome to zimmers....now only if we could get our home game up again...

where the **** is MC?

Originally posted by mineriva

Originally posted by TwiceT
Im getting old ....

welcome to zimmers....now only if we could get our home game up again...

where the **** is MC?

Knitting/Gardening or hunting for a Robert Downey, Jr. clone

Well no I think BU's range is still uncapped. Assuming our range is strong on the flop is good and true, but a coldcall by BU means that he is still able to get money in against KQ/66 on most turn cards, yet he can allow SB to call with whatever piece of cheese he coldcalled preflop and hit the flop with. Which is good. So I think river is thinner than all that, and probably check/fold is better than most options.

I like your line, just disagree with the as played river line. Though I don't think betting the turn's particularly bad.

THE BOSS IS BACK

I got back last night after 30 hours of travelling, and my welcome home present was for number two son to trip over the cable to my laptop, which went splat on the floor, killing the screen. I will get it fixed, but I was not a happy bunny, and couldn't blog last night. Speaking of bunnies, number one cat left a headless bunny outside our back door this morning. Welcome home me.

So. Mauritius. Much the same as last time. Here's the view from my room by the beach.

What this doesn't show you is all the stray dogs that kept wandering up and down the beach, and round the rest of the island. I'm sure it wasn't so bad this time last year. Although the view looks nice, because it's the middle of winter there, I'd get back from the University on the bus just after 5pm, and it would be dark by 6pm, which was annoying.

The bus every morning was a genuine third world vehicle. Here it is, full of grey haired English professors, which made me feel young.

All the mathsy stuff went pretty well, and I finished on Thursday, so on Friday I hired a car and went to some of the bits of the island that I missed last time. Unfortunately, every time I tried to visit somewhere interesting I'd follow a sign, end up at a T-junction with no sign, and get lost. It was still fun to drive around fairly aimlessly, and by strange coincidence I ended up at the island's largest casino. Contrary to how it looks on the web, it's in a shopping mall, by a large car park and a KFC, and it's a bit of a dump. I'm still not convinced it's the same place as they show in that video. Anyway, I sat down to play a 500/1000 cash game. In real money, thats £1/£2, which I'm not really bankrolled for, but whatever. The table was super soft and, as I had total junk for the first couple of orbits, everyone convinced themselves that I was a huge nit, which was very nice. I ended up winning £150. The only downside was that everyone was speaking French, so when the inevitable post-river discussion of the hand took place, which always tells you exactly how they think about poker, which is more than a little useful, I couldn't understand it, which was definitely -EV. There were two French guys there who had come for a $600 BI MTT the next day, who obviously thought they knew what was what, but didn't seem very competent to me.

For example, French MTT guy limps UTG, there's one caller, I have K Q on the button, raise, and only he calls. The flop is A35 with one heart. I cbet, he calls. The turn is a blank :heart:, so I decide that I have enough equity to bet and try to fold out small to mid pairs and straight draws he might have, he check/raises, I fold, he shows 2 4 . I'm not sure that that's a hand I would have in my UTG limp/calling range, were I to decide to construct one.

The main leak that everyone seemed to have was the classic 'betting because I think I'm ahead' syndrome. There was a very amusing hand where the fish on my right overbet jammed a connected flop with bottom two pair, thereby isolating himself against the nuts, and got called by top two. Everyone was friendly and nice to me, and I had a great time. I will be back next year.

On Saturday, I had a couple of hours before I went to the airport, so I decided that I would finally get round to going in the sea. I slipped on my trunks and headed out....and headed out....and still the water only reached just above my knees. I peered out to where the waves were breaking at the reef that surrounds the beach, and noticed someone else in up to their knees. It was basically too shallow to swim in for 200m in every direction. I had to wade back again, like a huge, beached white whale, while a cool, beautiful Italian family watched me from the comfort of their beach recliners. Bastards!

I spent a considerable amount of time reading books and watching movies over the past week. I watched:

1) Django Unchained: Rather better than I'd been led to believe. Leonardo DiCaprio was particularly good, I thought, but generally a bit too violent for my taste.
2) The Avengers: Remind me never to watch another superhero movie. Interminable.
3) The Exorcist: I hadn't watched this for thirty years. Still genuinely terrifying.
4) Zero Dark Thirty: Good, but not as good as I'd hoped. Two and a half hours is a long time with no laughs, for me at least. Not that there were many laughs in The Exorcist.
5) Sinister: Scared me shitless. I went 'Aaaargh!' a couple of times on the plane, and was so scared that I had to cover my eyes during a lot of it. Reduced me to a big jelly.
6) The Girl: I had to watch this to recover from Sinister. Hitchcock really was a pervy old bastard. I felt a bit sorry for him in the end.
7) Bernie: I think that's what it was called. Jack Black plays a funeral director. I fell asleep.
8) Stoker: Very silly, but possibly the most stylishly made film I've ever seen. I liked the bit where the spider crawled up her skirt. Profound. Recommended.
9) Lincoln: The best film I saw all week. I thought it would be a bit heavy and slow, but it was a real masterpiece. Daniel Day Lewis dressing up and doing a funny voice. Who's have thought.
10) Mama: Well made and quite scary, but after seeing The Exorcist and Sinister, I thought I coped quite well.

I had planned to do some work while I was there, but I wasted/expended (take your pick) all of my effort in trying to work out how the AKQ game becomes the [0,1] as you go through the limit AKO game -> AKOJ game -> AKOJT game ->......->[0,1]. I wrote something about this when I first started my blog (Three years ago! Happy birthday blog!), some of which was even correct. It's much harder than it looks to analyse, but I will stick with it. I want to generate some maths content to go on the website for the book, so I have an incentive. It'll probably be one short paragraph with a thirty page appendix. Here's my desk and office while I was in Mauritius.

So, now I'm back, I'm not sure how much poker I'm going to be playing, what game I want to play and whether I want to keep playing live. Tbh, I'm rather enjoying the fact that I'm not under any real pressure to play at all. I'm feeling refreshingly lost at the moment. We shall see.

Also, Hamish has started a blog, which you should read. It's very entertaining, and apparently he's bald and scabby. How can you resist reading about that?

Originally posted by jbpatzer

I got back last night after 30 hours of travelling, and my welcome home present was for number two son to trip over the cable to my laptop, which went splat on the floor, killing the screen. I will get it fixed, but I was not a happy bunny, and couldn't blog last night. Speaking of bunnies, number one cat left a headless bunny outside our back door this morning. Welcome home me.

So. Mauritius. Much the same as last time. Here's the view from my room by the beach.

What this doesn't show you is all the stray dogs that kept wandering up and down the beach, and round the rest of the island. I'm sure it wasn't so bad this time last year. Although the view looks nice, because it's the middle of winter there, I'd get back from the University on the bus just after 5pm, and it would be dark by 6pm, which was annoying.

The bus every morning was a genuine third world vehicle. Here it is, full of grey haired English professors, which made me feel young.

All the mathsy stuff went pretty well, and I finished on Thursday, so on Friday I hired a car and went to some of the bits of the island that I missed last time. Unfortunately, every time I tried to visit somewhere interesting I'd follow a sign, end up at a T-junction with no sign, and get lost. It was still fun to drive around fairly aimlessly, and by strange coincidence I ended up at the island's largest casino. Contrary to how it looks on the web, it's in a shopping mall, by a large car park and a KFC, and it's a bit of a dump. I'm still not convinced it's the same place as they show in that video. Anyway, I sat down to play a 500/1000 cash game. In real money, thats £1/£2, which I'm not really bankrolled for, but whatever. The table was super soft and, as I had total junk for the first couple of orbits, everyone convinced themselves that I was a huge nit, which was very nice. I ended up winning £150. The only downside was that everyone was speaking French, so when the inevitable post-river discussion of the hand took place, which always tells you exactly how they think about poker, which is more than a little useful, I couldn't understand it, which was definitely -EV. There were two French guys there who had come for a $600 BI MTT the next day, who obviously thought they knew what was what, but didn't seem very competent to me.

For example, French MTT guy limps UTG, there's one caller, I have K Q on the button, raise, and only he calls. The flop is A35 with one heart. I cbet, he calls. The turn is a blank :heart:, so I decide that I have enough equity to bet and try to fold out small to mid pairs and straight draws he might have, he check/raises, I fold, he shows 2 4 . I'm not sure that that's a hand I would have in my UTG limp/calling range, were I to decide to construct one.

The main leak that everyone seemed to have was the classic 'betting because I think I'm ahead' syndrome. There was a very amusing hand where the fish on my right overbet jammed a connected flop with bottom two pair, thereby isolating himself against the nuts, and got called by top two. Everyone was friendly and nice to me, and I had a great time. I will be back next year.

On Saturday, I had a couple of hours before I went to the airport, so I decided that I would finally get round to going in the sea. I slipped on my trunks and headed out....and headed out....and still the water only reached just above my knees. I peered out to where the waves were breaking at the reef that surrounds the beach, and noticed someone else in up to their knees. It was basically too shallow to swim in for 200m in every direction. I had to wade back again, like a huge, beached white whale, while a cool, beautiful Italian family watched me from the comfort of their beach recliners. Bastards!

I spent a considerable amount of time reading books and watching movies over the past week. I watched:

1) Django Unchained: Rather better than I'd been led to believe. Leonardo DiCaprio was particularly good, I thought, but generally a bit too violent for my taste.
2) The Avengers: Remind me never to watch another superhero movie. Interminable.
3) The Exorcist: I hadn't watched this for thirty years. Still genuinely terrifying.
4) Zero Dark Thirty: Good, but not as good as I'd hoped. Two and a half hours is a long time with no laughs, for me at least. Not that there were many laughs in The Exorcist.
5) Sinister: Scared me shitless. I went 'Aaaargh!' a couple of times on the plane, and was so scared that I had to cover my eyes during a lot of it. Reduced me to a big jelly.
6) The Girl: I had to watch this to recover from Sinister. Hitchcock really was a pervy old bastard. I felt a bit sorry for him in the end.
7) Bernie: I think that's what it was called. Jack Black plays a funeral director. I fell asleep.
8) Stoker: Very silly, but possibly the most stylishly made film I've ever seen. I liked the bit where the spider crawled up her skirt. Profound. Recommended.
9) Lincoln: The best film I saw all week. I thought it would be a bit heavy and slow, but it was a real masterpiece. Daniel Day Lewis dressing up and doing a funny voice. Who's have thought.
10) Mama: Well made and quite scary, but after seeing The Exorcist and Sinister, I thought I coped quite well.

I had planned to do some work while I was there, but I wasted/expended (take your pick) all of my effort in trying to work out how the AKQ game becomes the [0,1] as you go through the limit AKO game -> AKOJ game -> AKOJT game ->......->[0,1]. I wrote something about this when I first started my blog (Three years ago! Happy birthday blog!), some of which was even correct. It's much harder than it looks to analyse, but I will stick with it. I want to generate some maths content to go on the website for the book, so I have an incentive. It'll probably be one short paragraph with a thirty page appendix. Here's my desk and office while I was in Mauritius.

So, now I'm back, I'm not sure how much poker I'm going to be playing, what game I want to play and whether I want to keep playing live. Tbh, I'm rather enjoying the fact that I'm not under any real pressure to play at all. I'm feeling refreshingly lost at the moment. We shall see.

Also, Hamish has started a blog, which you should read. It's very entertaining, and apparently he's bald and scabby. How can you resist reading about that?

FYP!

Originally posted by jbpatzer
The bus every morning was a genuine third world vehicle. Here it is, full of grey haired English professors, which made me feel young.

♦

Originally posted by jbpatzer
I got back last night after 30 hours of travelling, and my welcome home present was for number two son to trip over the cable to my laptop, which went splat on the floor, killing the screen. I will get it fixed, but I was not a happy bunny, and couldn't blog last night. Speaking of bunnies, number one cat left a headless bunny outside our back door this morning. Welcome home me.

ouch.

Is it even worth fixing the screen?

I was a very bright spark about 2 years ago. I saw a "demo model" of my laptop. a Laptop that was on display and after the model got discontinued they removed the HDD/CPU and RAM. I bought it for less than 10% of the "full" price. So I had a newish spare battery, screen and motherboard.

tbh I told myself that I am never buying a high end laptop again. I got one of those small "notebook" for fiona she luv it.

Oh btw is the math here in this 3rd world country not good enuf for the great grey profs?

Originally posted by mineriva

Originally posted by jbpatzer
I got back last night after 30 hours of travelling, and my welcome home present was for number two son to trip over the cable to my laptop, which went splat on the floor, killing the screen. I will get it fixed, but I was not a happy bunny, and couldn't blog last night. Speaking of bunnies, number one cat left a headless bunny outside our back door this morning. Welcome home me.

ouch.

Is it even worth fixing the screen?

I was a very bright spark about 2 years ago. I saw a "demo model" of my laptop. a Laptop that was on display and after the model got discontinued they removed the HDD/CPU and RAM. I bought it for less than 10% of the "full" price. So I had a newish spare battery, screen and motherboard.

tbh I told myself that I am never buying a high end laptop again. I got one of those small "notebook" for fiona she luv it.

Oh btw is the math here in this 3rd world country not good enuf for the great grey profs?

I don't pay for computing equipment. It's one of the few perks of being an academic.

And I can only go and be an external examiner if invited. It's rude to ask.

Originally posted by jbpatzer
I don't pay for computing equipment. It's one of the few perks of being an academic.

I thought - reasoning by analogy from our good old German language - an academic is a person who finished higher education at university (BA, MA, PhD etc.). [Akademiker /= academic but akademisch = academic ... very confusing!]

I don't get computer equipment though, so I am not qualified. In fact, I don't get any equipment. I don't get anything really. I am always the one paying. FML. Must be nice to be a baller professor.

FYP

Only problem with that pic is that my wife tells me that JB is sooo much better looking. :-)

Originally posted by mineriva
Only problem with that pic is that my wife tells me that JB is sooo much better looking.

Your wife is obviously a very attractive woman with a well-developed sense of humour.