$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
Prima
4 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Stacks:
CO ($18.16) 182bb
BTN ($10.10) 101bb
SB ($16.94) 169bb
cozacu (BB) ($12.70) 127bb
Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 4 players) cozacu is BB Q♦ 9♦
1 fold, BTN raises to $0.30, 1 fold, cozacu raises to $1, BTN calls $0.70
Flop: Q♣ 4♠ 6♦ ($1.75, 2 players)
cozacu bets $1, BTN calls $1
Turn: Q♥ ($3.75, 2 players)
cozacu bets $2, BTN calls $2
River: 7♦ ($7.75, 2 players)
cozacu checks, BTN goes all-in $6.10, cozacu calls $6.10
Final Pot: $19.95
Villain 22/17 af 3.5 cbet 68 ftcbet 55 wtsd 23 FOLDT3b 64%
Reviewing this i consider it quite a mistake.
PF = 4 handed as a 3bet bluff is ok.
Flop = trying to get some value from hands like AK,99-JJ.
Turn= board is try, I`m trying to keep worst pairs in and prepare a shove on river.
River=... if I shove my self I think I`m never going get called by worst so I decide to check/call... which I do.
The problem here is that the only hand we`re beating on the river vs this villain is a pure bluff... regarding PF action he`s range here is just AQ,KQ... maybe QJ( because it's 4handed).
With no history behind, I think he would almost never call flop call turn with air just to shove river... and even if he slowplayed AA,KK PF I don't think he`s shoving river with those hands.
All in all - I think we can confidently check/fold river. (although it looks weak).
Q: Do you think my analysis is accurate regarding his range?
How would have you played this hand if (would you?) you 3B PF?