Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

NL100 - TPTK getting x/raised AI

14 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
41 Views

Hi!

Villain:
23/19/20k
9.9% overall 3B
BB vs BTN: 56/30/13 (fold/call/3b)
54% foldtocbet
Donkbet flop: 24%
donkbet/fld: 36%
donkbet/call: 50%
donkbet/raise: 15%
27 wtsd, 52 w$sd
2.84 AF
agg freqs: 44/30/22

Thoughts:
Villain donks really wide and is not folding a lot so I'm willing to raise thin for value. I'm raising all sets, 2 pairs, KJ+.

On the turn AK (especially without a FD blocker) is at the top of my range so in theory this would be a call. I think though that he can't have that many bluffs in this spot? Weird lines are mostly value right?

Questions:
1) Can we make an exploitive fold versus that line?
2) Is it a fold anyways because he did say sth in the chat? This is strong right?

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2252099
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $132.18
SB: $44.18
BB: $110.83
UTG: $27.40
MP: $164.12
CO: $90.12

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A :spade: K :diamond:
3 folds, Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.50) 7 :diamond: 4 :heart: K :club: (2 players)
BB bets $3.50, Hero raises to $10.50, BB calls $7

Turn: ($25.50) 5 :club: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $16, BB raises to $98.33 all in, Hero calls $82.33

River: ($222.16) 3 :club: (2 players - 1 is all in)


Reply
Quote
13 replies
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

I think this is a good spot to bet smaller on the turn, villain is really polarized, I don't see him c/calling turn much. Anyways, this looks a lot like hands like 65s, 76s.


Reply
Quote
_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Originally posted by double2
I think this is a good spot to bet smaller on the turn, villain is really polarized, I don't see him c/calling turn much. Anyways, this looks a lot like hands like 65s, 76s.

I still have a lot of troubles with deciding what the best betsizing is.. Just don't see the logic behind it.

Why would we wanna bet smaller?

My logic is that we are kind of deep, we want to put pressure with bluffs and the board is a little drawy. That's why I prefered like at least 70% potbet.


Reply
Quote
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Originally posted by Farmarchist

Originally posted by double2
I think this is a good spot to bet smaller on the turn, villain is really polarized, I don't see him c/calling turn much. Anyways, this looks a lot like hands like 65s, 76s.

I still have a lot of troubles with deciding what the best betsizing is.. Just don't see the logic behind it.

Why would we wanna bet smaller?

My logic is that we are kind of deep, we want to put pressure with bluffs and the board is a little drawy. That's why I prefered like at least 70% potbet.

Against polarized ranges it just doesn't make sense to bet big. He is folding his garbage and continue with nutted hands, no matter your sizes.


Reply
Quote
_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Ha I see :) But why do you think his range is polarized? In my eyes it's pretty condensed. From top pair/2 pairs to Ahi floats..


Reply
Quote
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Originally posted by Farmarchist
Ha I see :) But why do you think his range is polarized? In my eyes it's pretty condensed. From top pair/2 pairs to Ahi floats..

Once again I'm pretty sure I misread the hand, thought he c/r flop and chked turn.

Hmm, db/c, yeah, he probably does have a condensed range :)

Then your sizing is fine and I don't have a clue what should we do vs the shove, we are close to the top of our range but we do get awful odds.


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by double2
I think this is a good spot to bet smaller on the turn, villain is really polarized, I don't see him c/calling turn much. Anyways, this looks a lot like hands like 65s, 76s.

I suspect this villain has a merged range. Donking polarized is suicidal when u do it with such a wide range of hands - youll end up having way too many bluffs.


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by Farmarchist
Ha I see :) But why do you think his range is polarized? In my eyes it's pretty condensed. From top pair/2 pairs to Ahi floats..

Condensed? What do u mean by that?


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I really dislike the idea of raising flop and then folding to the checkjam. Ill pray he has 56s or some similar sort of hand. Sometimes youll see kq being overplayed though it shouldnt be too common.


Reply
Quote
_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Originally posted by mbml

Originally posted by Farmarchist
Ha I see :) But why do you think his range is polarized? In my eyes it's pretty condensed. From top pair/2 pairs to Ahi floats..

Condensed? What do u mean by that?

Depolarized :)


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Ah ok thought u meant that


Reply
Quote
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Obv Farma has been reading Janda's book :)


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by double2
Obv Farma has been reading Janda's book :)

Obviously i havent :(
waiting to go home in a weeksso i can get started.


Reply
Quote
_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Originally posted by double2
Obv Farma has been reading Janda's book :)

You read me like a book sir


Reply
Quote
Share: