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[PLO10 SH zoom] QJ98ss vs UTG reg on A^

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Kreatief
Joined: 28.01.2006

$0.05/$0.10 Zoom Pot Limit Omaha Hi
6 Players

Stacks:
UTG ($13.70) 137bb
UTG+1 ($20.27) 203bb
CO ($1.90) 19bb
Hero (BTN) ($14.88) 149bb
SB ($10.21) 102bb
BB ($10.36) 104bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is BTN J♣ 9♣ 8♥ Q♦
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.35, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.20, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.85

Flop: Q♥ 4♠ A♦ ($2.55, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.45, UTG+1 calls $1.45

Turn: 3♦ ($5.45, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $2.90, UTG+1 calls $2.90

River: 8♠ ($11.25, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks

Villain 21/16/8 - 3AF - 28WTS - 127h
Stacks 150bb deep

Preflop I think I dont like my 3bet that much for three reasons:
1. Theres a gap in the middle which makes it harder to hit
2. Its only suited to the J
3. Possible TwoPairs might have hit villains UTG range even harder
We have to consider that he might call alot of AA** pre, because we are 150bb deep.

We wont hit the board pretty good vs a 10% range:

We only have 50% equity on 30% of flops.

Flop This should be a standard cbet, as we obviously rep alot of AA**. I play like 20/14/6.

Turn Barrel vs AKT, AJT type of hands? Sure, I can rep AA** pretty good, but villain knows that and knows I could barrel A^ boards alot.

River I am not sure whether I should keep on barreling or check down my weak TwoPair. The question is if I get villain to fold AQ, 44 (which he shouldnt have at all in his preflop r/c range). I dont think so.
Also, I should keep in mind that he knows I will barrel alot of A^dry boards, therefore he could be calling me down even with hands like AKT*, AJT*. And I dont think he will be calling that on the turn just to fold the river. Therefore it even might be a vbet vs this type of hands, but its not enough given his possible river range:


Board: A♦Q♥4♠ 3♦ 8♠
              Equity  Gewonnen  Unentschieden
MP2: Preflop  39.40%    38.93%          0.46% { QdJc9c8h }
        Flop  13.05%    12.79%          0.26%
        Turn   9.17%     9.17%          0.00%
       River  26.96%    26.96%          0.00%
BU:  Preflop  60.60%    60.14%          0.46% { (AA**, 44**, AQ**, AKT*, AJT*, KJT*) & 10%6♥ }
        Flop  86.95%    86.69%          0.26%
        Turn  90.83%    90.83%          0.00%
       River  73.04%    73.04%          0.00%


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1 reply
Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

i'm surprised you 3bet this hand when you're able to do such a good analysis about why it's not :) Very good work. The biggest problem is that a UTG+1 range will often flop better sd's, fd's and most importantly better 2 pair than you here very often.

I have absolutely nothing to add to your postflop deductions as well. River play is totally read dependant. I don't think he's folding a+ a pair here if he already called twice, and you beat all of his busted draws, so i think i'd check back the river too.

Good, thourough, work on the hand analysis. That's a great way to improve your game if you dissect tough spots in such a way. Well done.

Regards,

Skodljivec


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