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AQs 3b pot

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Nevrex
Joined: 22.10.2010

$0.50/$1 Zoom No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Morgauth ($141.86) 142bb
UTG+1 2TH3L3FTOFU ($202.07) 202bb
CO StAnger1337s ($169.22) 169bb
BTN sunofperu ($100) 100bb
SB Hero ($110.90) 111bb
BB Lekerov ($250.70) 251bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is SB Q♥ A♥
3 folds, sunofperu raises to $2, Hero raises to $7.50, 1 fold, sunofperu calls $5.50

Flop: 9♦ 8♦ 5♣ ($16, 2 players)
Hero bets $7.50, sunofperu calls $7.50

Turn: A♣ ($31, 2 players)
Hero bets $21.50, sunofperu calls $21.50

River: 3♦ ($74, 2 players)
Hero checks, what next?

opponent reg 23/19, open 63, fold to 3b 62% on btn, fold to cbet in 3b pots IP 45/50/17

Flop could be check/folding, a lot of draws and i have only A-high. Even i will make him fold 77/66, JT, QJ, brodways with backdoors, A6/A7 with backdoor flush draw.

Turn is valuebet, when he call i will not have him hands like 98, 99, 88, 55, JTdd and some combo draws so he have all flushdraws with clubs, probably not all with diamonds, maybe 77/66.

I've clicked it in equilab and it looks like (his range on river) http://scr.hu/0o6f/su3uq

TT, KdQd, KcQc, AdJd, AcJc, KdJd, KcJc, QdJd, QcJc, AdTd, AcTc, KdTd, KcTc, QdTd, QcTc, Ac9c, Kc9c, Qc9c, Jc9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, Kc8c, Tc8c, 9h8h, 9s8s, 9c8c, Ad7d, Ac7c, 8c7c, Ad6d, Ac6c, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ac4c, Ad3d, Ac3c, Ad2d, Ac2c, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc, QdJh, QdJs, QdJc, QsJd, QcJd, QdTh, QdTs, QdTc, QsTd, QcTd

so check/call river?? if he is able to turn sometimes into a bluff and shove with missdraws which I represent too, w$sd 56, wtsd 25


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3 replies
lnternet
Joined: 19.06.2012

Pre is good.
Flop is good. His fold preflop and fold to cbet is very high. Even though this isn't a good flop for you, it is not that bad as normally. He has few 76s A6s hands given he folds 62% pre, and he raises rarely (probably) with KQ or so given his high fold to cbet.
Turn is good.
River check is good. You can play a thin value shove, but a check/call is better. You can't check fold if he jams, as he might have AdJx (and bluffs of course).


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BC1989RF
Joined: 09.04.2010

A bit surprised with the flop strategy here. Vs such stats on that flop i usually c/f pure OC no bdfd.

How is 45% f2cbet high? Compared to the 70% vilain is supposed to defend vs a 50% bet?
Also, a 30-40% continuing range vs 3bet from a 65% open will probably call/raise that flop close to 60-70% of the time (i didnt include broadway + xD which is abt 20 combos).

This makes a cbet barely break even no? turn/river are in favor of vilain given how dynamic the board is?


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urmo1
Joined: 02.03.2008

I think flop check is much better, and it's really marginal to cbet this flop.


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