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99 set Axx

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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

PokerStars - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 77.36 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB: 118.95 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 19)
Hero (BB): 121.06 BB
UTG: 231.32 BB (VPIP: 35.29, PFR: 35.29, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 18)
MP: 122.23 BB (VPIP: 24.56, PFR: 17.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 62)
CO: 56.18 BB (VPIP: 24.93, PFR: 15.88, 3Bet Preflop: 7.52, Hands: 343)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♥ 9♣

UTG raises to 3 BB, MP calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 4♣ 9♦ A♥
Hero checks, UTG bets 6 BB, fold, Hero calls 6 BB

Turn: (21.5 BB, 2 players) 5♠
Hero checks, UTG checks

River: (21.5 BB, 2 players) 9♠
Hero bets 16 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 20.53 BB

Seems hard to extract value with sets 3way vs reggs even though I am really aggro with bluffing. I am not sure, what looks stronger, raise or call?
If I raise, I could be bluffing and repping nothing on dry board, but call from BB where I mostly have PP and suited connectors is really strong. So I would expect him to check turn with even AK if he thinks a little bit.
Is river bet ok? I thought about c/r to get value from AQ, AK but he would still bet/fold in that case since I cant bluff there.

Also, my any size bet on river looks very strong since with weaker Ax (like A2s-ATs) I wouldnt bet and AJ+ I sqeeze.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Mlatasrb,

Generally I will donk-bet sets multi-way and mix in some bottom-pair 5out type hands for balance. You can certainly get away with a x/c on this dry texture though. Woudn't check-raise without reads.

River lead is fine. There's nothing you can do about the fact you rep a strong range. Villain is unlikely to bluff after he checks back turn, so you may aswell just bet and hope he bluffcatches or tries something fancy.


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