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NL25 [AA] River bet / sizing?

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ABShortland
Joined: 21.11.2008

PKR, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $25.99 (104 bb)
Hero (SB): $27.72 (110.9 bb)
BB: $12.50 (50 bb)
CO: $26.93 (107.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, BB calls $0.37

Flop: ($1.24) 8 Q 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.88, BB calls $0.88

Turn: ($3) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.25, BB calls $2.25

River: ($7.50) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.75, BB raises to $8.75 and is all-in, Hero calls $4

Villain is 23/19 with 6.7% 3bet over 355 hands

Normally i'd make it 4x from the SB but decided with making it 2.5x like i do on the button hoping for him to 3bet.

Should probably make it a little bigger on the flop, closer to $1

Just thinking on the river should i even be betting at all? My bet size is probably abit too big and not sure if a queen is paying off 3 streets, probably a strong queen like KQ+ is and it's definitely a Bet/Fold when this happens, never ahead in this situation i don't think.

is X/C'ing a better line to take or do we miss too much value?

Cheers


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3 replies

If I bet I would make it not bigger than 1\2, mayhap even as low as 1\3... However your sample is pretty decent so you may find WTSD value trustworthy & thus refer to it. If it's normal I don't think anything worse would call in vacuum here, the board is very coordinated, 3-flush and paired, not easy for average TAG to find a reason to call here. So I'd opt for c\f w\o further info.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

xc worst otr line

you could just start sizing bigger otf in order to set up river shove. effective stacks otr are super awkward, though as played would bet smaller and i think you could still fold as you have the best hand like 1% of the time or something.


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Hi ABShortland

Why would you ever make it 4x from the SB? Or did you mean 3x?

As played ck/shove the turn. Villain will have floats and value that he bets on the turn.

But as played I can't see a mid stack folding pairs on that river but when you bet/call you never beat anything so why not bet/fold? And yes, smaller would be betetr.


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