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Nl100 Kq

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x3mwisp
Joined: 31.03.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($174)
BB ($95.63)
UTG ($128)
UTG+1 ($55.10)
CO ($98.33)
BTN ($203)

Dealt to Hero Q♠ K♣

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $3, Hero raises to $10, fold, BTN calls $7

FLOP ($21) K♥ 3♣ Q♦

Hero bets $13.05, BTN calls $13.05

TURN ($47.10) K♥ 3♣ Q♦ 9♠

Hero bets $24.74, BTN raises to $49.48, Hero calls $24.74

RIVER ($146) K♥ 3♣ Q♦ 9♠ 7♠

Hero checks, BTN bets $130 (AI), Hero folds

BTN wins $143

BU is 46/22 fish. He has 27agg% and 18 wtsd (strange cause only 116 hands).
BU 63% raise and called twice to 3bet 100%
In 3bet pots f 50% to cbet.
On the turn I ch/c because i thought he could have AK/AA plus i have 4 outs if not but maybe it's a ch/f turn to such betsizing. Or maybe it's a ch/c ch/c spot?


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3 replies
maritsula
Joined: 19.12.2011

I would play it the same way.

How would you play the hand if the turn was a T?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi

I think he would raise turn and fire river with almost the same range. My first instinct is that it doesnt make sense to b/c the turn and fold river trying to draw to your 4 outs to a boat, assuming he rarely raise turn chexk river with any value hand and he rarely bluffraises the turn.

Turn pot odds: 16%
River pot odds: 28%

4 outs is around 9% equity. If u hit u probably stack villain.

Seems like a close spot.

Q9 (6)
k9 (6)
33 (3)
99 (1/3)
Kq (4)
JT (16)

U have 33% equity here based on my assumptions which means u should probably call down.


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Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010

Gross but with mbmls range I would also include a couple combos of turn bluffs such as qt/qj. Perhaps less so vs this villain though


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