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Flush vs megafish on paired board

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mihninho
Joined: 16.04.2009

PartyGaming - $1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BB: $100.00
Hero (UTG): $166.93
CO: $0.10
BTN: $47.50
SB: $208.85

SB posts SB $0.50, BB posts BB $1.00

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero has T♣ J♣

Hero raises to $3.00, fold, fold, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2.00

Flop: ($9.00, 3 players) K♣ 5♠ 4♣
SB bets $2.00, fold, Hero raises to $8.00, SB calls $6.00

Turn: ($25.00, 2 players) 5♣
SB checks, Hero bets $45.00, SB calls $45.00

River: ($115.00, 2 players) Q♣
SB bets $20.00, Hero raises to $110.93 and is all-in, SB calls $90.93

So villain is a megafish VPIP 60 PFR 13 WTSD 41 he is very aggresive on the river 65 % agg factor. On the flop i put him on air but when he called he must have a pair there and i hoped was K. On the turn i boosted the pot because i wanted to shove the river in case he calls the turn overbet. When he donks the river i know i'm in front of him and ship. How would you have played the hand?I have 800 hands on the villain so if you need any more info about him to corectly analyse my hand let me know.Thanks for your time!


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3 replies
Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Hey,

Preflop and flop are played well. Turn, this is a bit too much in general because villain can have a decent amount of hands that have you beat on the turn. That said, if you think he's simply never folding a Kx on the turn vs any size I don't mind this. River is also close. With the info you provided (only vpip/pfr/wtsd) i don't think he's going to call enough many weaker hands to make pushing better than raising smaller or just calling. He just has J:cT:c beat a bit too often imo.


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mihninho Topic starter
mihninho
Joined: 16.04.2009

VPIP PFR 3bet F3bet 4bet range
Steal from CO BTN SB fold to steal SB and BB
Cbet flop fold to cbet flop raise flop cbet fold to raise flop cbet
Agg freq on every street WTSD fold to cbet in 3 bet pot and fold to pf 4bet percentage

I have 3 notes on him but none will help me here because they are like he plays agg when he sees weakness but not bluffing.


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Don't see anything that would make jamming river any better in that hud. It's mostly preflop numbers that have nothing to do with this spot. Any showdown where he does some donk-betting and then ends up calling off light, is way more valuable than any stat imo.


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