SPeedFANat1c

Results from september:

At least one thing which looks bad is NL25 turn cbet. Over 5.5 K hands this stat is probalby acurate enough.

The sample is not huge but it could be a problem.

How do you feel the month went (despite the results)?

What do you think you have improved?

How do you feel the month went (despite the results)?

What do you think you have improved?

I found more spots where I can barrel on turns, so I guess I improved at least a little.

Still not sure why at NL25 the stat is lower than NL10.

ANd I dont feel confident about NL25 zoom yet, so still I am going to mix both limits, so the NL10 removes my loss in case I am loosing at NL25.

edit:

I think I am bluffing way to much in wrong spots, like in hands like this.

NL25 SH Zoom A6o

as you said earlier - I might be loosign from small pots which I dont notice. And I am paying bit more attention to those and from hand evaluations I really see many mistakes.

ANd there are much more them which I dont post because of lack of time.

There will always be hands you can't post because of lack of time so try to pick some that you think are problematic and post those.

Or you can make more time (ie: finish a session 5 minutes early, or wake up 5 minutes earlier).

Hello,

time is passing so fast, but had not made much volume in the last 2 months.

Was busy by studying for work and finding new room to rent.

Turn cbet stat looks now better. Maybe even too big. Now also need to be sure if I am not making bluffs in wrong spots.

From the graph it still looks when I won at showdowns, green line is going up, but when sd winnings are not good, my redline does not make green line up. So I might be spewing too much still by bluffing uncussesfully.

It does look like your red line just plummets which implies that you are losing quite a bit of money in spots that you don't look for. For example building pots up and giving up on them (like no flop cbet, or flop cbet no turn cbet, etc).

It does seem like you reduced your flop cbet a lot so it may be that you are giving up too much.

Played around with filters and narrowed down some spots of losing money.

But this is just for NL25, when I put same filter on NL10 or NL20, results are different, so who knows, might be variance.

Total sample is 28K hands.

VIPIP = FALSE - lost 996 $

Now all those are PFR = true:
WHen pot is less than 10 bbs - 1038 $ profit. OK so this compensates for losing when I fold blinds.

WHen final pot is bigger than 110 bbs I am also making profit - 170 $

Other intevals in BBs like [10-20], [20-30] ... [90-110] - are negative.

From those I found out that most negative is 40-50 bb pot - lost 173 $, 112 hands (-620 bb/100)

Added filter - saw showdown = FALSE and instead of 173 $ it became 189$. So about 15 $ won at showdowns.

And then by selecting hand groupings, I see that biggest loss is from big ace hands - AK, AQ.

WHen select hole cards - it shows that AKo (13 hands) is loosing 43 $,
AQ (7hands) is loosing 24$ (keep in mind that its 40-50 bb final pots).
After them follows ATo (6 hands) and AJo (4 hands) which are loosing bit smaller.

Samples are no big, but playing and loosing at almost 7 bb/100 over this 28K sample does not add confidence at all
Will have to take a look if I made many mistakes or just bad luck. So I guess its enought, post becomes long quickly

Here is how my AK hands look on filters:

pfr = true
pot size 40 - 50 bbs
saw showdown = FALSE

Posted some of those hands and did not find mistakes so variance probably - not getting right flops and they not folding to cbets when I made.

Edit: found one mistake when c/f turn too light

Given the sample is small variance will be a big factor in these hands.

Looking at the actions there I see you have a few raise/4-bet folds so that must have been deep.

And the rest looks like bad flops overall.

There are a few AK towards the bottom where you cbet a dry flop and given up on a somehwat blank turn.

Hey,

happy new year, readers !

Last month was not big sample again, problems with room rent - had to searh for new one which takes ton of time - it took half month from start searching till I am in the new room. And also was not doing much sample on hollidays.

But was a luckbox this time a bit - ran over ev and have positive month.

New year goal - I guess it is just to beat NL25 zoom finally ♦ at least 1 bb/100

Edit:

Oh, forgot yearly results:

Btw checked stats and last 9K hands on all limits my flop cbet is 71.1 and turn cbet is 62 - thats probably to high - so might be spewing around

ALso I geuss I need to put a current bankroll mark, so next year I can see how much it growed. Now it feels that it growed by 200 eur, but according to graph it should have growed by 350 eur. So not sure what is wrong.

So current roll aprox at Jan 1 2014:

1230 eur

You win by betting (in poker) and not by checking.

So I rather be betting a bit more often than not enough.

Given you play 10nl/25nl being more aggressive is definitely fine. People are very fit/fold and very adverse to aggression.

Last month was lucky cause even when my BB is negative, the ev line is positive and also I was not lucky at NL10 but lucky at NL25 which made my $ also positive.

As we can see w$sd is bad. Maybe that had something todo with my allin ev high and real money low. BUt also could make bad bluffcatchs or who knows.

Also its interesting to see lifetime NL25 zoom:

Is my loossing going to the end? Or just luck. We will see later.