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[Closed] Fold AA???

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This is a theoretical question
the blinds are 50/100 and you and the villain have 2000 chips
You are in the MP1 poss and you limp for deception with a big hand
After you the "tight of the year" award winner raise to 3BB
You make a decision that on any flop you will raise big, and on the base of his image hi will push nearly on any flop too.
Then you have two decisions
Fold 1900 EV
Or Push
For this you must have EV > 1900
If villain fold JJ, AQ or some move we can say he will fold in 10% of the cases
He will call with QQ+, AK
Ew is your equity
1900 < / 2250*(Ew) *0.9 / + / 550 * 0.1 /
Ew > 0.91
So you equity must be more than 91%
But with aces vs QQ+, AK you have only 84%
So what
Fold!?!

Some feedback


4 replies

This is for SNG
6-8 people left
and the buy-in is big


? pot is 2000*2+ 100 + 50 = 4150, not 2250 if he calls your push


Hi kukkiwonBG,

Theres an easy way out of this. Don't limp AA for deception. If you do limp AA, then why not reraise after the TaGs raise. Its obvious he has a big hand.

People try to play to smart. You should play ABC poker on the low-medium buyins. You say he'll push any flop, yet you also say he's TaG. So if he raised AQo preflop, he'd go broke on a K high board? Nope, thats not a read, he would never go broke on any flop, even with KK he wont go broke, if theres an ace.

The best thing you can do is raise 2.5-3 bb's preflop.

Best regards,
Stiev


Dont limp aces, and always reraise a TAG whos gonna risk all his money with you because he had to have a very good range of hands.