AA pre, Right River Decision

I can't see myself ever folding given those odds. You only have to win about 25% of the time.

Sure he can have a crapload of hands that are ahead,but he can also be doing this with plenty of worse hands.

This river bet sizing looks like the kind of bet size fish do with hands like 9x when the overcard J comes on the river.

Hi,

His line looks strong but at the same time you block some flushes + you have overpair against 40/14 player who is likely capable valuebetting worse and also sometimes bluffing air.
Call turn and especially call river seems very standard line with aces. You only need to be right river 22%.

best regards,

I think he does the classic fish call with flushdraw, hit flush and lead turn, lead river..
But then again, there's a reason I posted it. But for once I thought I would get something like.
Good fold.

:-)

Originally posted by ggiants81
I think he does the classic fish call with flushdraw, hit flush and lead turn, lead river..
But then again, there's a reason I posted it. But for once I thought I would get something like.
Good fold.

well you have played against him 1k hands, not us
So it might easily be the correct fold.
But since you´re just 150bb deep and he doesn´t 3-bet pre-flop too much I think you may easily see there as often QQ/KK/TT that took some pot control line and wants to get small value out of worse hands.
If you have certain read that he would only lead flushes then folding is of course more correct

best regards,