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NL2 FR 88 deep stack hitting bottem fullhouse

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TortoiseAndHare
Joined: 24.01.2014

IPoker, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $1.98 (99 bb)
BB: $2.16 (108 bb)
Hero (UTG): $3.37 (168.5 bb)
MP: $1.55 (77.5 bb)
CO: $1.83 (91.5 bb)
BTN: $8.57 (428.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 8
Hero raises to $0.06, MP calls $0.06, CO folds, BTN calls $0.06, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.21) 8 Q Q (3 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, BTN bets $0.06, Hero calls $0.06, MP folds

Turn: ($0.33) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.16, BTN calls $0.16

River: ($0.65) K (2 players)
Hero bets $0.65, BTN raises to $1.40, Hero raises to $3.09 and is all-in, BTN calls $1.69

BTN is fish (63/9) and calling station

Flop check call since I don't want other players to fold on this dry board.
Turn decide to bet for value and increase the pot. Think I am way ahead most of the time.

Bet again for value on the river. Expect BTN to call Qx and completed club draws. BTN raises and it's an easy shove. Calling his raise requires only 28% equity. Estimate BTN river range to be (QQ,77,KQs,87s,AcKc,AcQc,AcJc,KcJc,QcJc,AcTc,KcTc,QcTc,JcTc,Qc9c,Tc9c,9c8c,7c6c,6c5c,AQo,KQo,QJo) of which only QQ and KQ beat me.

Please comment on my River reasoning. Is bottem fullhouse strong enough to play for deep stack in this hand?


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5 replies
redrawstump
Joined: 09.05.2012

Hey,
preflop std.
Flop :). Given you are so deep I think you should raise here to pot size. You'll fold out his air and weak made hands but any qx is calling plus club fds. he might even go crazy with qx and shove. Which would be nice.
if villain is a station post flop then you want to size your bets to get all the money in by the river. He has all qx in his range and heaps of flushes so you want max value.

As played, river shove may be optimistic. These type of players play lots of pots but only get aggro when they hit a monster, esp otr. Given that the flush gets there and you only really lose to kq I think I'd shove also hoping for a nut flush or qx to call but it's thin.

Keep it foolish :)


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

he's not raising naked Qx when the flush completes


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TortoiseAndHare Topic starter
TortoiseAndHare
Joined: 24.01.2014

Hi redrawstump,

Agree with your flop remark. Simple rule of betting strong hands at micro's is sometimes forgotten.... If MP has a weak hand there is little value to be extracted.


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redrawstump
Joined: 09.05.2012

yeah - @Tomaloc speaks the truth. Villain's range for raising the river is pretty nutty so maybe a call makes more sense. Raising is even thiner-er.
But my main point was that you want to be shoving the river yourself thru better bet sizing on the previous streets. These people don't fold to bluffs so take advantage of that when you're strong!


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pokerboy198229
Joined: 20.08.2011

FLOP:
Ik will bet it. Its not a dry board, there are a 2 players in and u can get called/raised by a lot hands and ranges like Qx, flush- straight draws. But check calling and the betting u do really rep a monster there. Discuse you big hand there by betting the flop.

River:
Its close. Bu i think he doenst have a Q there. If he had a Q he will probably raise you on turn. So most times he will hit his flush (nut flush, J10 etc) and he will pay you off. I think against a fish i will shove here most of the times despite the result of his hand. We can also beat the hand like 77.


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