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99 Oop

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evolv87
Joined: 14.06.2011

PokerStars - $1.32+$0.18|10/20 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 1,500
BTN: 1,490 (VPIP: 28.03, PFR: 20.97, 3Bet Preflop: 18.75, Hands: 137)
SB: 1,480
BB: 1,430 (VPIP: 47.62, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 22)
UTG: 1,500
UTG+1: 1,500
MP: 1,500
MP+1: 1,600
Hero (MP+2): 1,500

SB posts SB 10, BB posts BB 20

Pre Flop: (pot: 30) Hero has 9♣ 9♠

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 61, fold, BTN calls 61, fold, BB calls 41

Flop: (193, 3 players) 5♣ 2♦ 4♦
BB checks, Hero bets 129, BTN calls 129, fold

Turn: (451, 2 players) 2♥
Hero bets 225, BTN calls 225

River: (901, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, BTN bets 460, fold

Preflop standard raise and c-bet on the flop. Turn is a blank and I still think I'm ahead. His call on the turn makes me think about his range:

I'm ahead against:
- 66, 77, 88
- Flush draw
- Overplaying AQ/AJ

Behind against:
- Slowplaying a monster (JJ+)
- Flopped a set (55 or 44)

The T on the river doesn't hit his range so it is a blank. Is this a good spot for a small defensive bet? I hate folding here as I am beating way too many hands but at the same time I don't want to have to call a big bet in a marginal spot early in the SnG. Any suggestions on the riverplay or the rest of the hand would be great, thanks!


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

I would be check-calling this half pot bet in river. Every draw has missed and villain looks aggressive from his preflop stats. I doubt this player would slowplay big pockets so I would not be that afraid of those. He can have flopped set of course and sometimes 2x, but there is also decent chance he would play those hands more aggressive earlier streets.

So check-calling river and playing same way otherwise.


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evolv87
Joined: 14.06.2011

Thanks for the feedback!


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SRwtf
Joined: 19.03.2014

I would, for no reason there, check and fold on the river. I would either check-call or check-raise. If he has the nuts you'll know it. If you were to fold atleast don't give him such a chance to bluff at you.
He could easily have a suited ace with a five?!
So when you checked it might've looked to him like YOU missed your draw and so he thinks he's in shape and can make a semibluffbet
That means: He's got Top Pair you got an Overpair. He calls you because that's what he's supposed to. He then calls another bet, slightly smaller this time (only half the pot) so there's no way he's got top pair and wouldn't call.
The 2 could simply not have helped you in like ~65+ percent of the time so he keeps calling.
You check he's game.

This is weak postflop game on the latter streets, work it out just keep in mind that you should never portray your weakness in a big pot (!) and only fold to such a bet when you KNOW you're beat.


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