Opponents is regular, bit on a spewy side. BTN 3bet 12%.
Preflop - I could 4-bet of course but his fold to 4-bet is like 75% so I flat here and keep ranges wide.
As played:
Flop - I've seen him betting small with weak hands and draws in the past so I guess it's a no-brainer call. I don't want to shove because I think I'm often ahead.
Turn - in my opinion people often check down their one card nut flush on turn, to avoid scaring off weaker hands and get value on river, that's why I think I'm still ahead fairly often.
River - obviously very strong bet, but what makes it difficult decision is the fact that he had been doing pretty bad this session and I witnessed him playing more aggressive/spewy than usual. Also, I think he would expect me to donk A of diamonds fairly often, so my check can make me look weak and induce a bluff. Besides, if I fold K of diamonds here, it would give him a hugely profitable bluff spot and make me exploitable, right?
I know game theory and real life can be different but what do you think, can we call river?
$5/$10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BTN: $781 (78.1 bb)
SB: $1,364.36 (136.4 bb)
BB: $535.10 (53.5 bb)
Hero (CO): $2,164.87 (216.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A
K
Hero raises to $26, BTN raises to $75, 2 folds, Hero calls $49
Flop: ($165) 7 5 T (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $55, Hero calls $55
Turn: ($275) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $150, Hero calls $150
River: ($575) K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $501 and is all-in, Hero ???
