PokerStars - $0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (CO): 144.5 BB
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 20.02, PFR: 12.89, 3Bet Preflop: 5.87, Hands: 1,196)
SB: 127.26 BB (VPIP: 25.90, PFR: 16.27, 3Bet Preflop: 7.94, Hands: 166)
BB: 211.56 BB (VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 17.48, 3Bet Preflop: 8.08, Hands: 2,135)
UTG: 154.92 BB (VPIP: 52.57, PFR: 2.29, 3Bet Preflop: 1.23, Hands: 180)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J♥ J♠ 2♠ K♦
UTG calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4.5 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 3.5 BB, UTG calls 3.5 BB
Flop: (14 BB, 3 players) 9♠ 2♦ 2♣
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 8 BB, BB calls 8 BB, UTG raises to 45.36 BB, Hero ???
I feel a bit bad about posting this hands as it's not really a theory question, just "does he have it or not"? Talked through this with MrTrocks and he said fold, and I think that's what most of you are going to say. I just wonder why he would pot 99 or 92. A2 is more likely, but then he also has all the other random deuces. I think fun players might just think "he raised pre, put him on AA" and go with their trips because it's "for value".
Spoiler
Hero raises to 140 BB and is all-in, fold, UTG calls 94.64 BB
Turn: (302 BB, 2 players) 6♣
River: (302 BB, 2 players) 9♣
Players agreed to run it twice.
Turn #2: (302 BB, 2 players) K♣
River #2: (302 BB, 2 players) T♦
UTG shows 3♣ 2♥ 7♥ 3♠ (Three of a Kind, Twos)
Board #1 (Pre 30%, Flop 21%, Turn 13%)
Board #2 (Pre 29%, Flop 21%, Turn 5%)
Hero shows J♥ J♠ 2♠ K♦ (Three of a Kind, Twos)
Board #1 (Pre 70%, Flop 79%, Turn 88%)
Board #2 (Pre 71%, Flop 79%, Turn 95%)
Hero wins 148.5 BB
Hero wins 148.5 BB
Folding this would have been a terrible mistake, and yeah it's results oriented but I just can't seem to stop being a calling station :/
