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zoom 200 facing pfr x/c,x/c,x/r

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Dublimax
Joined: 22.11.2008

Poker Stars, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $200 (100 bb)
SB: $96.68 (48.3 bb)
BB: $216.32 (108.2 bb)
UTG: $310.13 (155.1 bb)
MP: $253.92 (127 bb)
Hero (CO): $432.07 (216 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 8 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $5.40, Hero calls $5.40, 3 folds

Flop: ($13.80) 7 9 5 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $9, MP calls $9

Turn: ($31.80) 8 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $22, MP calls $22

River: ($75.80) Q (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $49, MP raises to $217.52, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$173.80 pot ($2.80 rake)
Final Board: 7 9 5 8 Q
MP mucked and won $171.00 ($85.60 net)
Hero mucked 8 8 and lost (-$85.40 net)

43/43 after 23 hands
cb:1/2
x/c as PFR 1/1

I gave him the following range OTR for x/r:
AdAs,AhAs,AsAc,AsTs,As9s,Ks9s,Js9s,Ts9s

with the following assumptions:
if he x/c FD OTF he x/c only nfd and FD+pair and CBet all his other FD (like JTss etc...)
he doesn't x/c his bare nFD OTT
he turns AsA into a bluff OTR.

1) Do you agree with those assumptions?
2) Do you agree with the x/r range I gave him? aka I should call bc I have 37% equity and need 33%
3) Thoughts on overbetting turn?
4) If you fold river as I did what is your calling range?

Thanks


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Dublimax,

Preflop call is fine.

I agree we can discount of flush draws from average players range after flop check.

I don't necessarily agree that villain will not x/c nfd on turn here, stacks are slightly deep + villain has implieds.

It's possible he bluffs with AsA on river but he might not even get to the river with this hand with this line.

I much prefer underbetting the turn to overbetting here. We can underbet/call with our implieds a lot of the time.

River we may not need to call anything other than flushes here. Certainly any 6x would follow if necessary, before we'd ever think about calling sets so I think there are no problems folding to river jam here. There is a decent chance we should bet with this sizing in the first place though.


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