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Could i have avoided the call on the river raise?

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adi1990v
Joined: 30.04.2013

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $3.87 (77.4 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $6.90 (138 bb)
MP: $5 (100 bb)
CO: $5.14 (102.8 bb)
Hero (BTN): $9.96 (199.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.17, CO folds, Hero calls $0.17, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.41) 4 T K (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.25, MP calls $0.25

Turn: ($0.91) 4 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.75, MP calls $0.75

River: ($2.41) 6 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.85, MP raises to $3.70, Hero calls $1.85

Results:

Spoiler

$9.81 pot ($0.41 rake)
Final Board: 4 T K 4 6
MP showed 3 4 and won $9.40 ($4.53 net)
Hero mucked A K and lost (-$4.87 net)

Note - I did not 3 bet him because his fold to 3 bet was only 25% and he was a monkey fish.
And also his aggression on the river is 50%(12)
Player Stats

42/32/6.9/25 VPIP/PFR/3bet/Fold to 3 bet
67/43 Cbet/Fold to Cbet
27/18/50 Flop/Turn/River Aggression

Sample - 60 Hands


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey adi1990v,

Preflop is fine. Reasoning is strange though - surely we'd be more likely to 3bet someone for value if they didn't fold much....

Flop is good.

No reason to think our hand is not good on the turn, double-barrel is good.

River - We can potentially reduce sizing a little here to encourage calls from a wider range. Also it should likely bet bet/fold on river. While it's not impossible he is bluffing, river x/r bluffs are a pretty rare occurrence at this particular limit.


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