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NL25 QQ sqz pot, interesting spot

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $25.70 (102.8 bb)
BB: $27.25 (109 bb)
UTG+1: $10.15 (40.6 bb)
UTG+2: $30.19 (120.8 bb)
MP1: $25 (100 bb)
MP2: $28.72 (114.9 bb)
MP3: $25 (100 bb)
CO: $30.30 (121.2 bb)
BTN: $25.33 (101.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q Q
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3, BB folds, MP2 calls $2.25, BTN calls $2.25

Flop: ($9.25) 7 6 J (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, BTN bets $5, Hero calls $5, MP2 calls $5

Turn: ($24.25) 3 (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, BTN checks

River: ($24.25) K (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks, BTN bets $17.33 and is all-in, 2 folds

MP: 17/12. OR MP 20%, fold to 3b 38% IN 700 hands, wtsd 19 wwsf 42

BU: 15/12. 3bet of 5.5%, fold to 3b 61% en 4.4k hands, wtsd 23, wwsf 49, bet river 36%,

how many AhXx hans has BU?

AhKx probably 3b pf

AhQ, AhJx ?

i decide to xc flop cause there isnt too much value. only some AJ, and given i have Qh i think that playing it pasively is better


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4 replies

Hi marcos

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I'm not a huge fan of ck/calling 3-way here. Most of the time you will have a hard time getting anywhere with the hand and how face up does your hand look like? As played isn't that river shove a call, given how everything was done (remember you expect at most 2 Ah hands).


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marcosmartinez Topic starter
marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Hi bodgan

Yeah, bet/AI is the better option here right?

I dont understand the last part of your post, did you mean that river should be a fold cause i expect at least 2 combos of Ah? (AhQs, AhQd)

EMN = 17.33 / 58,91 = 0,2941775589882872 = 30%

Considering rake: 32% to be break even.


Mesa: 7♥6♥J♥ 3♣ K♥
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
UTG    33.33%  33.33%   0.00% { QhQc }
UTG+1  66.67%  66.67%   0.00% { ThTs, AhQd, AhQs }

If i give him ONE combo of bluff i have a call here.

That if i only give him AhQx, but if i put him in some AhJx hands, only adding one combo makes the difference


Mesa: 7♥6♥J♥ 3♣ K♥
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
UTG    25.00%  25.00%   0.00% { QhQc }
UTG+1  75.00%  75.00%   0.00% { ThTs, AhQd, AhQs, AhJs }

What do u think? Im losing my mind with this spot hahah

Regards


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No, I actually meant what I wrote.

You said you didn't bet the flop because you don't expect a lot of value. You also said you expect him to have at most 2 combos of AhX. That's VERY little value, right?

In a spot where villain is so polarized and reps so little I find it hard to fold... especially because he rarely has to bluff for us to show a profit AND both us and the other guy played super weakly so far...

It's possible that he only shoves value here but I find it hard to believe given all the info.


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marcosmartinez Topic starter
marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Sorry, english isnt my natural languaje, i didnt understand you the first time.

Thanks for the evaluation :)


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