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NL50 99 . River?

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AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

Microgaming - €0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: €98.25
Hero (BTN): €96.75
SB: €52.84
BB: €50.00
UTG: €50.00
MP: €106.76

SB posts SB €0.25, BB posts BB €0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: €0.75) Hero has 9♠ 9♣

fold, fold, CO raises to €1.50, Hero calls €1.50, fold, fold

Flop: (€3.75, 2 players) 2♥ T♠ 3♣
CO bets €2.75, Hero calls €2.75

Turn: (€9.25, 2 players) 4♠
CO bets €7.00, Hero calls €7.00

River: (€23.25, 2 players) 5♠
CO checks, Hero?

Anon. table. Can`t remember his stats but he was active over a small sample.

The turn call should be fine. He could play like that Ax/FD, i think.

On the river? Seems like this hand should be a bluff there. Size? I guess he would fold Tx. Not sure about the sets (i think that he should fold them, but i doubt that an unknow would?). He might sometimes play ch/c with Ax i guess...


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5 replies
EthereaL
Joined: 04.10.2008

I would assume he gets to the river with something like this - TT+,33-22,ATs,A5s-A4s,KTs,QTs,JTs,KsQs,KsJs,QsJs,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo .
He should x/f Tx on the river and that is more than half his range, so betting is +EV.


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AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

I think that he might have more Ax (he has a gutshot + 2 overcards and he was pretty active). If that`s the case 2/3 bet will probably be still +EV, but not very high. What if we bet smth. like €30? I think that he will fold his sets and probably most Ax?


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EthereaL
Joined: 04.10.2008

Yeah, it's likely, but without information I prefer to be more conservative. So I won't expect him to fold Ax for sure :milord:


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Flop and turn should be fine vs most opponents at this limit.

Probably correct to check back river at least from a theory point of view since we beat all his bluffs. Exploitatively we might be able to fold out Tx and overpairs which could easily make the expectation of betting higher than the expectation of checking. Depends on villain really.


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AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

Originally posted by w34z3l
...since we beat all his bluffs..

Hi! Which bluffs do we beat? Unless he is betting the turn often with broadways or 77/88, we beat nothing. And i`m inclined to put all Ax in his range before them.


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