[Closed] Nl100 Fr: KK

Even though you have some outs, I think you have to fold here. You have between 5 and 20% equity most of the time. I really doubt he is ever (semi-)bluffing here and the worst he valueshoves might be AK.

preflop: raise to 12$
flop: bet 18$ or more
turn: shove

I b/c the turn. We get very good odds - we need to call 40 for 160 - 1:4

That means we have to win 20% of the times to run break even.

Board: Jc Td Jd Ad
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 21.182% 20.50% 00.68% 451 15.00 { KcKd }
Hand 1: 78.818% 78.14% 00.68% 1719 15.00 { JJ-TT, AJs-ATs, KJs+, QJs, JTs, 9d8d, 8d7d, 7d6d, 6d5d, 5d4d, AJo-ATo, KJo+, QJo, JTo }

I only gave him hands that have us beat on this turn, flush, trips, full houses, 2 pairs, straights. We could take more Ax hands in there but well. If we now calculate that he is semibluffing like 5% of the times and pure bluffing like another 5% of the times we get a clear call.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar

if u want to bet/3bet turn you'll get it in with about 20% max, which makes this play break even .. with some fe it should turn a profit.

however, on this turn you'll always get a shove by better hands and worse hands wo peeled one off on the flop will fold ... so i might go for a c/rai to balance my c/f on the turn as pfa. (im really not sure whether balancing is an issue on nl100, but on higher limits i like it cuz you get floated so often ... on the other hand, the A is a decent barrel card - although the board is not too exciting - and if we check the A we dont often c/f ?! )
if he checks back the turn its ok for us and we can oftentimes vb the river ...

so what about c/rai turn? what about c/f? will he ever turn his made hand (e.g. QQ, 99) into a bluff on this turn?

C/r is an option imo, c/f not, at least for me.