[Closed] NL200: River dangerous board vs donk

the great return of swissmoumout

I fold feeling pretty good about it here without further reads.

imo only hand that he can represent is set.
Consider your image imo you can call. He would probably c/r multiway with set, since it is drawy board and if he hit 77/33 then I´m happy with that (rather 77 than 33).

Originally posted by Kaitz20
imo only hand that he can represent is set.
Consider your image imo you can call. He would probably c/r multiway with set, since it is drawy board and if he hit 77/33 then I´m happy with that (rather 77 than 33).

I don't think he has set ever in that spot or he's just lol bad.
I also don't think he bluffs a busted draw and he doesn't bet a worse 2 pair

so he has us beat way more often than we need in order to call.

i bet more on the flop but i think as played a call on the river is best; i think this line is rarely a bluff, but he could be valuebetting worse hands in this spot given your image

i am actualy calling thinking i am ahead a bunch here . i dont expect him almost never to show up with set or 56 but i do expect him to bluff some busted draws or to show up with a backdoor spade flush

Originally posted by chenny8888
but he could be valuebetting worse hands in this spot given your image

he is a huge nit, no way he is capable of doing this

Originally posted by lilprincess

Originally posted by chenny8888
but he could be valuebetting worse hands in this spot given your image

he is a huge nit, no way he is capable of doing this

i can expect him to show up with hands like 43 32 as well as some random bluffs some of the time. remember that his entire range is pretty narrow: we've all but eliminated sets already.. like the only hand i can realistically believe he plays this way would be A :spade:5

Hm, actually I disagree with the majority of you. I think this line looks like some kinda kombo draw. Something like gut shot pls flushdraw or pair plus what ever. 56 is also a possibility. Sure, he can also have the busted fd. But would he play it like that? Not very often imo. His line looks so weird that I give him credit for the bet and fold. I see him having a straight pretty often. Due to your image I don't expect him to bluff here very often. And what hand he plays for value like that, that we beat? Set is also possible of course.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar

Originally posted by TribunCaesar
Hm, actually I disagree with the majority of you. I think this line looks like some kinda kombo draw. Something like gut shot pls flushdraw or pair plus what ever. 56 is also a possibility. Sure, he can also have the busted fd. But would he play it like that? Not very often imo. His line looks so weird that I give him credit for the bet and fold. I see him having a straight pretty often. Due to your image I don't expect him to bluff here very often. And what hand he plays for value like that, that we beat? Set is also possible of course.

Best regards,
TribunCaesar

vs 14/12/2.0 i like fold
100% agree with tribun in this spot

Hmpf. I don't really see a nit like that calling OOP with a suited connector. It's possible, but it's not the biggest part of his range. And he probably plays a set faster than this. I'm quite clueless here actually, and when I'm clueless I tend to look the guy up because I want to know what he's doing this with. 14/12/2 doesn't mean a thing in terms of how capable he is of bluffing a busted draw or making some weird play with an overpair.