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99 sets bad play

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Freddo993
Joined: 12.01.2013

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $1.53 (76.5 bb)
BB: $2.49 (124.5 bb)
Hero (UTG): $3.01 (150.5 bb)
MP: $2 (100 bb)
CO: $7.57 (378.5 bb)
BTN: $2.06 (103 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9 9
Hero raises to $0.06, MP calls $0.06, 2 folds, SB calls $0.05, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.24) 9 4 8 (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.23, MP calls $0.23, 2 folds

Turn: ($0.70) 5 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.33, MP raises to $0.66, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$1.36 pot ($0.07 rake)
Final Board: 9 4 8 5
Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$0.62 net)
MP mucked and won $1.29 ($0.67 net)

I think I've misplayed this hand ..... opponent is 87hands on him 27/18 with a WTSD wsf 9%

on the turn I'm getting 5 to 1 pot odds, when he takes aggression like that I kinda felt he was gonna push on river because of the pot size, also, he is minraising which makes me very suspicious about his range some high suited broadways, or even something like 67s... but I don't think I should've folded here

what do you guys think?


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3 replies

I definitely would not fold here. Big bet flop is fine since it is NL2 and there is no need to worry about balance. Turn I would bet more. At least 0.5, probably 0.55$. As played it is definite call since you have 10 auts and in my opinion nice implied odds, if you get your full house he will pay at least one more bet with it.


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metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

Even if he shows you the nut flush, you still should not fold turn as you have 22.5% equity and are getting 5 to 1 (20%). This means you have direct odds to call turn even if he never puts another cent in on the river (but he most likely will).

Minraise usually is a nutted hand so even though we have top set, I think we can fold if he jams the river and we haven't made a boat.

I agree with LordHorius about betting bigger on turn but I'd go even bigger, like 0.6-0.7


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Freddo993
Joined: 12.01.2013

Originally posted by metza
Even if he shows you the nut flush, you still should not fold turn as you have 22.5% equity and are getting 5 to 1 (20%). This means you have direct odds to call turn even if he never puts another cent in on the river (but he most likely will).

Minraise usually is a nutted hand so even though we have top set, I think we can fold if he jams the river and we haven't made a boat.

I agree with LordHorius about betting bigger on turn but I'd go even bigger, like 0.6-0.7

I'm checking the hand again and... damn the maths says it all... can't go against it.... easy call on turn :(


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