[2016] Confidant91

imo the QQ is significant overplay, when you jam 250bb I don't see AK/QQ calling, so you isolate yourself vs only KK+. Looking at mp stats I think when he 4bets like that its mostly KK+. I would say with jam we end up vs range of 6 combos AA 6 combos KK 9 combos AK 1 combo QQ at best.

We have 35% this range which imo is pretty generous as personally I dont believe many 19/16 regs are stacking AK w 250bb even blind vs blind.

I'm pretty happy to just fold vs MP 4bet, though I also don't mind 4betting vs SB hoping to get it in vs him.

Yeah definitely overplay, never stacked here anything just AA. Hopefully i would remember this spot finaly ♦ However the worst thing about this spot is that i didnt realized how tired i was during that session, got pay more attention to it.

I'd expect AA KK to 3bet some 75% on average pre? people don't flat those much at 25 even in these positions
flatting AK QQ is standard tho I assume, it looks sooo much like those hands but he's a nit, so like let's say he does it with QQ AK 25% of the time too?

http://www.power-equilab.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 59.79% 57.93% 1.86% { 25: QQ+, AKs, AKo }
MP3 40.21% 38.35% 1.86% { QQ }

You need 36% if he won't ever fold, which I think is a reasonable assumption? I think it's close personally. If people are rly nits and you remove more than 75% AK combos then folding's fine. Doesn't seem like a huge spew to me tho

Like let's say he does it with AKo less than AKs, QQ which is reasonable too and give 15% weight to AKo?
http://www.power-equilab.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 63.07% 60.89% 2.19% { 25: QQ+, AKs, 15: AKo }
MP3 36.93% 34.74% 2.19% { QQ }

for a breakeven shove. I think this'll be more realistic actually vs a nit. So I'd pretty much shove if I don't mind variance. I'm a pretty tilty dude tho who gets tilted easily so in game I'd tend to fold. Again not like either is a mistake or anything imo.

volume: 16h03m/16h
bb: 0:30h/4h
swimming: 4/3
rehabilitation: 7/7

Not a bad week, like my volume and sports activities. Only problem is that it is hard to find a time to study a game and do some work to school. Got to prepair some plan tomorrow.

Hope u had a great week as well! Tomorrow i will post results of this week.

WEEK3
Hands played : 15 550
Profit/loss : +$218,91
Starting BR : $1617
Current BR : $1468,53

getting back finaly

Originally posted by LemOn36
I'd expect AA KK to 3bet some 75% on average pre? people don't flat those much at 25 even in these positions
flatting AK QQ is standard tho I assume, it looks sooo much like those hands but he's a nit, so like let's say he does it with QQ AK 25% of the time too?

http://www.power-equilab.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 59.79% 57.93% 1.86% { 25: QQ+, AKs, AKo }
MP3 40.21% 38.35% 1.86% { QQ }

You need 36% if he won't ever fold, which I think is a reasonable assumption? I think it's close personally. If people are rly nits and you remove more than 75% AK combos then folding's fine. Doesn't seem like a huge spew to me tho

Like let's say he does it with AKo less than AKs, QQ which is reasonable too and give 15% weight to AKo?
http://www.power-equilab.com
Equity Win Tie
MP2 63.07% 60.89% 2.19% { 25: QQ+, AKs, 15: AKo }
MP3 36.93% 34.74% 2.19% { QQ }

for a breakeven shove. I think this'll be more realistic actually vs a nit. So I'd pretty much shove if I don't mind variance. I'm a pretty tilty dude tho who gets tilted easily so in game I'd tend to fold. Again not like either is a mistake or anything imo.

I can't agree with this my zoom nl25 stats are like 26/22 which imo is not nit, and there is no way in hell I put in 250bb w QQ/AK except vs whale and even vs fish im not happy to get in KK from all this UTG/MP action (though I still would) . imo if hes doing this with AK ever (doubtful) he is just using his blockers and folding to a jam.

Personally I would give the most weight to KK based on this line. He doesn't 3bet because he doesn't want to get in 200bb MP vs reg UTG w KK, perfectly reasonable imo. Then when SB 3bets, 1 player calls, and UTG does not reraise, he then feels pretty confident about his KK being good, and just ships it because SB is the only one who's supposedly uncapped, but he only has 100bb so doesnt matter to stack KK vs 100bb ez game. To me it makes a lot of sense KK here. Then considering hes a nit, I would disregard all this logic and assume he just has aces because hes a nit and he waits for good hands.

Looking at ppls 3bet not being so high, AA doesnt make a ton of sense, but its still possible.

Personally I have never ever seen a 19/16 guy get in >200bb with anything other than AA from any position.

Personally I would give the most weight to KK based on this line. He doesn't 3bet because he doesn't want to get in 200bb MP vs reg UTG w KK, perfectly reasonable imo.

I think that since their are deep it is more likely that he fast play KK,AA since he dont have that great postflop playbility with super high spr. Those hands are better with lower spr so that was exactly why i thought that he almost never has AA,KK in that spots. On the other hand always when i stacked preflop KK 200 deeo i saw AA, might be sample size issue but still....

Week4 goals:

volume: 16h
videos: 2
:spade:blinds range: sb,bb
swimming: 3 sessions
rehabilitation work out: 7 sessions

6 hour session day
:heart:day off: 1

I have just decided that i would try to have at least one day completely of school and poker. Every month i would like to have at least 5 or 6 days off to get a proper rest

Gonna try to improve my endurace in poker so i will try to make my sessions longer so i can put higher volume in one day sicne i will have one complete day of.

volume: 1h21m/16h
videos: 0/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 1/3
rehabilitation: 1/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 0/1

Originally posted by confidant91
About the abstinence topic, it would be great to learn how to drink but i am unable to do it, i have tried it so many times and i always fail.

Just keep trying

Originally posted by confidant91
Haha few more time i forget to update and there will be no bankroll challenge since i will be busto

But now seriously. Thanks for the money I received. I'll check every single day if you are reporting or not. Remember this if you don't want to pay me again ( <- hope it helps you to know that )

I would have folded QQ but I'm a nit.
Not being able to drink will save you lots of money, not to mention embarrassment, so don't bother about that.

Very nice job with the beginners course btw sir, very nice!

Mal.

In our country there is alcohol cheaper (beer) than non-alco (mineral water, cola, fanta etc...). But it's everyone's choice to drink or not.

volume:3h05m/16h
videos: 0/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 1/3
rehabilitation: 2/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 0/1

Thx gadget!

Zeldyman is completely right, thats probably the reason why everybody drins a lot in czech republic, but still i pretty like it these days since i am productive every single day which is great and so far it is paying of. So at least to the end of this 90 challenge i will stay sober!

Btw no worries zeldyman i will do my best to update everysingle day so i dont loose any other BI ♦

Btw day of will be thursday, looking so much to it

what do you plan to do on your day off btw?

Not going to school for sure, but i am going into swimming pool since from school i can be there every thursday whole morning so i will swim another training followed by whirlpool bath and maybe some hot steam, all avaliable in local swimming pool which is great. After taht i have my last rehab. No sure what i will do in the afternoon, probably go into the city for shoping or to check out some chicks sicne it looks like a summer outside already .

In the late afternoon i am going to Pilsen with my friend to pass one easy theory test that we are theoreticaly prepared for this gliding season so it should be fun.

Gonna try out whole day without computer and probably i will turn off even my facebook on mobile phone .I have been thinking about buying some realyl lowcost phone that can only call and sent text messages for those days since i think that is the best for geting proper relax for my brain.

Do u know about any interesting events going on in Prague thsi week?

volume:3h05m/16h
videos: 1/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 1/3
rehabilitation:3/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 0/1

Tomorrow day of

volume:3h05m/16h
videos: 1/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 2/3
rehabilitation:4/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 1/1

volume:6h02m/16h
videos: 1/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 2/3
rehabilitation:4/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 1/1

Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2682773
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $26.47 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 2,1, Hands: 201
Hero (SB): $25.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 2,0, Hands: 169047
BB: $32.36 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 1,0, Hands: 69
UTG: $30.07 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 19, 3B: 12, AF: 1,4, Hands: 212
MP: $39.85 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 18, 3B: 5, AF: 3,0, Hands: 56
CO: $35.47 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 5, AF: 5,0, Hands: 360

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with 6 7
1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.25, 1 fold, MP calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.75) 7 3 A (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, MP raises to $5.75, Hero calls $3.25

Turn: ($16.25) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $5.75, Hero raises to $17, MP calls $11.25

River: ($50.25) 4 (2 players)

funny hand from last session

Trying to put six hours today, gonna be hard since i had to visit my gradparents today and help my father, so still need to put in three session, i am tired though.

giving up for today, to tired to stay focused. Still can catch up tomorrow, evetogu i would have to postpone my swimming session on monday...

volume: 10h03m/16h
videos: 1/2
blind range: /sb,bb
swimming: 2/3
rehabilitation:5/7
6 hour session day: 0/1
day off: 1/1

Btw feel free to coment the hand.