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Spots were I go wrong

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Baggydogg
Joined: 15.11.2012

Hi guys!
I loose a ton of money in situations like the one below. I probably have a flawed thought process, but were do I go wrong in my thoughts?.

GTECH G2 (Boss) - kr2 NL (5 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 362.77 BB (VPIP: 24.27, PFR: 20.08, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 249)
SB: 149.29 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
BB: 156.35 BB (VPIP: 26.53, PFR: 16.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 50)
Hero (CO): 134.56 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ Q♥

Note: Villain 3B 5% of the time so his range contains basically no bluffs. [99+, AJs+, KQs, AKo] I need 19% Eq to call that tiny 3B, and Equilab gives me 41% so I guess the call is alright.

Hero raises to 3.5 BB, BTN raises to 6 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2.5 BB

Flop: (13.5 BB, 2 players) K♣ A♦ 5♣

Note: This flop hits me and I'm 65% before the betting starts. Villain C-bets 81% in normal cases so my plan is to check-call his C-bet since I don't think he will check back any part of his range.

Hero checks, BTN bets 10.13 BB, Hero calls 10.13 BB

Turn: (33.75 BB, 2 players) 4♥

Note: the 4h does'nt help any of us and since I believe was in the lead my Eq has now increased slightly. I prefer Check-Check for pot-control since I don't like to grow a big pot. Unfortunately he doesn't comply. So now my first decision: Fold, Call or raise? Folding is to weak here? But calling essentially commits me to the pot?

Hero checks, BTN bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB

River: (77.75 BB, 2 players) 6♠

Note: I go AI to have at least som fold equity. Check-calling wont be profitable here.

Hero bets 96.43 BB and is all-in, BTN calls 96.43 BB

Spoiler

BTN shows 6♦ A♠ (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
(Pre 25%, Flop 20%, Turn 14%)
Hero shows A♥ Q♥ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 75%, Flop 80%, Turn 86%)
BTN wins 263.85 BB


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6 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

As villain is IP, his 5% range will look different: QQ+,AKs,A5s-A2s,K9s-K8s,Q9s-Q8s,AKo.
His value range will be 2-3% and bluff - 3-2%.

Preflop you are slightly behind - 49%.
On the flop Villain is c betting this for sure: KK+,AKs,A5s-A2s,K9s-K8s,AKo vs which you are 40% behind.

The turn doesn't change much anything.

On the river you have 43% equity.
I do not like the shove.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

you dont have fold equity against better hands (and you dont want fold equity against worse hands, should be obv). if you think x/c isnt profitable (might be true, might not) then just x/f


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Generally, the best play there, given that it's a 3bet pot, would be check/folding the river because he will generally have a better hand when betting. The rest is fine. As Tomaloc said, we don't need a fold equity against worse hands. If we bet, we are getting calls just from better ones and folds just from worse ones.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I do not think villain will bet worse hands on river, so x/f is ok.


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Baggydogg
Joined: 15.11.2012

Thank you all!


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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

The min-3-bet doesn't say much. He may have aces and try to make you put some more money, or he may have junk and he is hoping to hit something unlikely, while using position to make you fold.

I don't know how weak is folding preflop in this spot in a 6-max game. However, I would play the hand the same OTF and OTT. I don't like the shove either because, on the river, he definitely has something and, because it's a way ahead/way behind situation, he'll fold the weakest hands.


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