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River bet or not? Part 2

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VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

C$0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: C4.03 (VPIP: 13.46, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
SB: C1.92 (VPIP: 74.07, PFR: 1.85, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 54)
Hero (BB): C5.99
CO: C0.66 (VPIP: 68.12, PFR: 5.31, 3Bet Preflop: 2.70, Hands: 210)

SB posts SB C0.02, Hero posts BB C0.04

Pre Flop: (pot: C0.06) Hero has T♦: J♥:

CO calls C0.04, fold, SB calls C0.02, Hero checks

Flop: (C0.12, 3 players) 5♥: 7♣: 8♦:
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (C0.12, 3 players) 8♠:
SB bets C0.04, Hero calls C0.04, fold

River: (C0.20, 2 players) A♥:
SB checks, Hero ???
My thoughts:
A is good scare card, and could cause him to fold smaller pairs.
He shows no interest in the hand otherwise.
So if bet then it has to be bet/fold.


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5 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

A is a scare card and I think if he has an A he will bet it himself. But as you see his VPIP, he can have almost anything here. I am not sure if such a player knows where the fold button is.


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exostenz
Joined: 28.04.2008

I would check and wait for a better reason to bet


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xenomorphic
Joined: 29.12.2010

I think if we want to do anything with this hand (not saying we definitely should!) we should either stab flop with our gutshot + overs or raise the turn with the intention of bombing most rivers. Otherwise just try and check it down. If you bet river and he raises then it's not a 3bet or a call, so definitely a bet/fold.

I might have mubs here but I feel that in this situation fish can easily show up with Ax and check the river because they are scared that you slowplayed trips. Fish do not understand what the hell is going on and they just see better hands possible and start pot controlling. Doesn't mean they fold though. I also think his turn bet is just a probe to see where he's at and he probably will bet loads of rivers quite big if you just call his small bet thinking you would raise turn with a stronger hand. Then he hits his A and gets scared that you might have trips.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I would like to donk the flop. As played, I think it's better to give up the river. He has Ax often there and if he doesn't, I doubt we have enough fold equity.


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Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

You may try to bet the ace, maybe he'd fold something. I wouldn't mind that, for fun.


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