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NL16 SH Zoom QQ, UTG vs MP

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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $29.67 (185.4 bb)
BB: $7.92 (49.5 bb)
Hero (UTG): $35 (218.8 bb)
MP: $77.31 (483.2 bb)
CO: $16 (100 bb)
BTN: $20.69 (129.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q Q
Hero raises to $0.48, MP calls $0.48, 4 folds

Flop: ($1.20) 9 9 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.64, MP raises to $2.22, Hero folds

Preflop: Standard.

Flop: Standard cbet. I would usually call the raise on this board, but when he raised that big, I decided to fold because would be tough to play it on the turn oop and I doubt that my call would be profitable. On the other hand, why would he raise trips or FH there?

MP: 26/19/25(4)/1,7/229 (VPIP/PFR/IP_RtFlopCB/AF/H)


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11 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Bet big on flop and if he raises you- fold. with that smalish bet you can induce...


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

Originally posted by nitrol
Bet big on flop and if he raises you- fold. with that smalish bet you can induce...

I disagree. The bet is fine, we want to use the same bet size when we bluff him out on this dry a board as not to give away tells. We're pretty much playing against his stats here. What's this one?: IP_RtFlopCB


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by generals007
What's this one?: IP_RtFlopCB

This is raising flop cbets when in position. :)


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

Means 4/25 ? If so, I'm pretty much still undecided on the right play here. It might mean that he bluffs a lot of hands in this situation and calls quite a few of his made ones, but it might also mean that he just raises every time he hits a monster. Might be interesting to look at his call cbet here. I'm not good with what is a low or high value on most stats, but I think you know what I'm getting at.

Is 2.22 here really that big though? He's calling your 64 cent raise, so his bet basically is 2.22-0.64 into 2*0.64+1.20, so a little under 1.60 into a little under 2.50 , so a little under 2/3 pot size.

Hard one. Waiting for someone else to add something smart to the discussion; this situation probably happens a lot and we shouldn't continually make the wrong decision here.


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londonsystem
Joined: 19.11.2008

I think check/call on this flop works well against an postflop aggro player. On turn, I would bet/fold on almost any turn card. If called on turn, river is a check/call or check/fold.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Since you are no longer playing the absolute micros you can't keep folding overpairs on the flop even if they "ALWAYS" have it (which they don't of course).


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010
generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

Originally posted by Alleen86

Originally posted by generals007
Means 4/25 ?

No no, 25% in 4 occasions.

Again, I'm not good with stats, but that should be pretty high, right?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by generals007

Originally posted by Alleen86

Originally posted by generals007
Means 4/25 ?

No no, 25% in 4 occasions.

Again, I'm not good with stats, but that should be pretty high, right?

It is. I would expect something like 10 from decent reg. But this is just too small sample to make any conslusions.


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GoOnCal1
Joined: 22.01.2015

Originally posted by Alleen86
MP: 26/19/25(4)/1,7/229 (VPIP/PFR/IP_RtFlopCB/AF/H)

Given that you copy and paste this hand from the replayer (which is after the hand is played)
then raise flop bet in position at the time of the hand would have been 0% out of 3, and after the hand 1 for 4 : 25%
?


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by GoOnCal1
Given that you copy and paste this hand from the replayer (which is after the hand is played)
then raise flop bet in position at the time of the hand would have been 0% out of 3, and after the hand 1 for 4 : 25%
?

I'm not quite sure. There is an option in the replayer which sais "Use stats up to day of hand", but when I klick on it, I lost almost all the stats, so I'm keeping it deactivated. I supose that it's intended to show only stats from hands played before the day of the hand shown.


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