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AQs OP VS 3bet

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tzoun
Joined: 02.05.2009

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.31 (106.2 bb)
BB: $4.60 (92 bb)
Hero (UTG): $5.29 (105.8 bb)
MP: $3.04 (60.8 bb)
CO: $7.86 (157.2 bb)
BTN: $5.08 (101.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Qd Ad
Hero raises to $0.13, MP folds, CO raises to $0.45, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.32

Flop: ($0.97) Jc 2c Qh (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.65, Hero calls $0.65

Turn: ($2.27) Jd (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

River: ($5.07) 5s (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.43, Hero ???

VPIP:34 PFR:28 3bet: 23.5 (Hands: 33, at that time I had even less...)

Even though he is aggressive I dont expect him to bluff 3 streets with worse... Has someone a different opinion?


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4 replies
Chowchow12
Joined: 04.06.2012

I think you can call there to be honest. We are in a 3b pot with TPTK. It looks like a value bet OTR. He is aggressive, the club draw busted, and hands like KTs, 9Ts, AK, might be busted. Granted you could be running into things like JTs and AJ ,if he is 3betting super wide, maybe QJs. MAYBE JJ and AQ as well.

EDIT: You only need to be right about 25% of the time there as well, so I think call is okay. But I am still a huge noob so I would get more more opinions. I am going on the assumption that he is aggressive and 3bets a wider range.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

For me, preflop call is close. I believe AQo willl play better with 4bet bluffing in this situation. But since he looks a bit more loose/aggressive than the average, I believe it's fine to flat. Flop and turn are fine, imo, and as played, I think we have to call the river.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think villain has a stronger hand here. The only possible bluff is AK.


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generals007
Joined: 17.09.2007

How do we know he's likely to be bluffing here? We don't know his AF, and we can't have a good one with 33 hands. I usually think I'm beat here . On the other hand he's giving you 1:3. The problem is that the only thing I can think of that he could play like that which we still have beat is KQ, and that's a strange 3bet and a fearless bet on turn. I'm folding this.


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