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[SH] Bluffing river with a busted FD in limped pot

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Poker Stars $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $1.84 - VPIP: 91, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 1.8, Hands: 68
BTN: $7.87 - VPIP: 46, PFR: 34, 3B: 0, AF: 1.7, Hands: 117
Hero (SB): $3.13
BB: $2.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 13, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 98
UTG: $2.01 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 4, 3B: 2, AF: 0.8, Hands: 120

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is SB with 5♣ 6♣
UTG calls $0.02, CO calls $0.02, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.01, BB checks

Flop: ($0.08) K♣ 7♥ 7♣ (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks, CO bets $0.02, Hero raises to $0.08, BB folds, UTG calls $0.08, CO calls $0.06

After everyone checked and then a fish min-bets (which I take for a check) I feel like our raise (which I consider just a bet) has decent FE because looks like nobody has a K.

Turn: ($0.32) K♠ (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, CO checks

I didn't bet again because K is not a good bluff card. It can be good enough against 22-66 which I assume UTG is full of, but I wasn't sure where I stand, and so I decided not to bluff here.

River: ($0.32) 9♥ (3 players)
Hero bets $0.23, UTG folds, CO folds

Seeing how everybody checked behind and river is a complete blank, I decided that my flop check-raise and turn check line looks like a full-house that got tricky and missed out value on the turn. Also, I don't think any of the villains hit this board at all, they probably have busted draws like me and maybe a low pocket pair for UTG, which should fold here as well.

Now I do acknowledge that I don't have to make moves like that to win money on NL2, but I'm not super concerned about winning money on NL2, I'm just trying to improve my game and get any extra EV I can so I can get back to NL5 and hopefully NL10 once my downswing is over.


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11 replies
Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

I don't like check/raising this flop because I don't see much fold equity multi-way. But given that we have a semi-bluff, might be fine. Anyway, I would just check/call. Turn is fine, imo. On the river it's clear that we will win the pot only with betting, but the question is do thy fold A-high there. I think that our bet will not be profitable, but might be wrong.


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Originally posted by Alleen86
I don't like check/raising this flop because I don't see much fold equity multi-way. But given that we have a semi-bluff, might be fine. Anyway, I would just check/call. Turn is fine, imo. On the river it's clear that we will win the pot only with betting, but the question is do thy fold A-high there. I think that our bet will not be profitable, but might be wrong.

Hey mate,

On the flop I think it's a combination of:
a) FE as all opponents showed weakness
b) building pot in case a club hits or we improve to a monster draw on a 4 or 8
c) setting up a spot to possibly semi-bluff OTT if we're left HU and a good card hits (Q, J, A)

Although it's true that I don't see CO folding here, as fish is not know to often min-bet flop and fold to a $0.06 raise. But if everybody else folds it's still good for us I think?

Calling is good, I like it about as much.

OTR, don't you think that our line looks strong and wouldn't you fold A-high here yourself? Or you mean that you don't think our opponents on average will be attentive enough to see anything?

Cheers.


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mattyvx
Joined: 15.04.2015

yeah also when we x/r we only have a weak flush draw can easily be building a big pot with a dominated hand, kinda looks like one of them did have a bigger FD


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Originally posted by mattyvx
yeah also when we x/r we only have a weak flush draw can easily be building a big pot with a dominated hand, kinda looks like one of them did have a bigger FD

Yeah you're right. Perhaps now I like calling more as well. Although if we call flop we wouldn't be able to bluff river anymore, but I'm happy with that. Definitely not bluffing this river won't be my biggest leak.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Originally posted by Th334
OTR, don't you think that our line looks strong and wouldn't you fold A-high here yourself? Or you mean that you don't think our opponents on average will be attentive enough to see anything?

Our line does look strong, but I'm not sure that they combined will fold better hands often enough. On average, they don't like to fold A-high in this spot.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I like calling better too. We are mw with a weak draw and with a pair on board. We do not need to pump the pot.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Originally posted by Alleen86

Originally posted by Th334
OTR, don't you think that our line looks strong and wouldn't you fold A-high here yourself? Or you mean that you don't think our opponents on average will be attentive enough to see anything?

Our line does look strong, but I'm not sure that they combined will fold better hands often enough. On average, they don't like to fold A-high in this spot.

It is well to watch whether our hand looks truthfully told.


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Ales851
Joined: 16.07.2012

I prefer x/c flop because I don´t want to build big pot with weak draw. River in general it´s often good to bluff when both players check turn and we have 6high but here I don´t believe they fold their Ahigh so I would x/f


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

It is ok to bluff with a hand with no SDV but as the turn goes xxx no Ax is folding river.


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Kalecia
Joined: 28.08.2015

I am calling the flop as someone above said there is no reason to build big pot with weak draw in multiway pot out of position. So I am just calling because pot odds are very friendly here.

As played I wouldn't have balls to bluff the river because I can't see much FEQ here


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I don't think an observant villain will fall for our river bluff after our x on turn...


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