QTs UTG vs BB

There is a lot of draws and you have top 2, I think it is ok to shove OTT.
As played it is a fold OTR.

I think that you can play for stacks on turn.
On river, when straight and flush complete - it is a clear fold.

Thanks! I messed up that turn :f_cry:. I thought that I should've shoved there...

Yeah just shove turn. Fold on that dreadful river.

There is a lot of draws and you have top 2, I think it is ok to shove OTT.
As played it is a fold OTR.

what range you put him on the turn? are really draws calling flop, raising turn, by a reg at NL5? weaker 2 pairs I do not see, so I see only TT

Something like that?
MP2 58.79% 58.79% 0.00% QcTc
MP3 41.21% 41.21% 0.00% QQ, TT, 55, 22, AQs, KQs, QJs, AdKd, AdJd, AdTd, AQo

As played, it's good. When the J♦: comes on the river, completing straight and flush draws, it's a good fold. But, you could have got it all in on the turn.

what do you think he has on turn ? better or worst hand than yours?

if you think he has better hand(22,55) then why did you call turn bet ?
if you think he has worst hand then why didnt you protect from FD and SD?

so answer is simple.call on turn is worst play in this scenario.why?

Board: 5d2dQsTs
Equity Win Tie
MP2 78.71% 75.96% 2.75% { QcTc }
MP3 21.29% 18.54% 2.75% { 55, 22, Q2s+, KsJs, Jd9d, KJo, Q9o+, Q5o, J9o }

you had too much equity too not protect and value bet ( shove) with your monster hand on turn.
its monster hand(in this situation) yet its vulnerable when river brings some cards that would help with FD and SD
at top of that some river cards would kill action instantly.

Originally posted by nitrol
Something like that?
MP2 58.79% 58.79% 0.00% QcTc
MP3 41.21% 41.21% 0.00% QQ, TT, 55, 22, AQs, KQs, QJs, AdKd, AdJd, AdTd, AQo

QQ interesting - I think it might c/r flop a lot
same with 55, 22

why would AQ, KQ, QJ c/r turn ? it just isolates against better range. I am never myself doing that with such hand.

If people do that, then of course QT is good enought to ship.

Equity Win Tie
MP2 58.53% 58.53% 0.00% QcTc
MP3 41.47% 41.47% 0.00% TT, AdKd, AdJd, AdTd

but if I reduce your range, so that bluffs are draws and only value TT, we are doing good also.

MP3 21.29% 18.54% 2.75% { 55, 22, Q2s+, KsJs, Jd9d, KJo, Q9o+, Q5o, J9o }

I think this range vs UTG is way too lose, unless we know this is a fish.

QQ may not xr flop as board is not wet. Having fd is not a wet board.
AQ, KQ may xr turn cause draws were added.

Originally posted by crodady
what do you think he has on turn ? better or worst hand than yours?

You shouldn't think like that. It's not a question of whether he has a better or worse hand, it's the amount of combos of value hands versus bluffs/semi-bluffs in his range.