Well guys, here my analys
His river-raise put me on a difficult spot: I dont know if I have to call or 3-bet.
Well, I have to recognize how many times I'm ahead and how many times he beats me... of course with the Time-Button ♦ ...
Imo he doenst have a straight, becouse there are no reason to play bet/call on the turn with a straight ! So 75 and T7 are not possible on his range: he would play bet/3-bet on the turn with basically the nuts !
I'm very aggressive and he knows that (even if we've played only 20 hands), but I don't want to believe that he slowplays a straight on the turn to raise me on the river (with 2 possible flush draws)
So he doesn't have T7 or 75 (99% of the times) ... ♦
What kind of hands does he have ?
- Trips is possible: he could have an 8 on his range
- Could he have a Full-House ? Yes, maybe... but KK, 99, 88, 66 are not possible ... his line would be very very strange: he would 3-bet preflop these PP almost 100% of the times and on the turn he cannot plays bet/call with a Set.
So , in my mind, the only hands he could have are K8, 98, 86 give him a full-house that beats me.
But K8 and 98 are not possible also (imo), becouse he would bet/3-bet on the turn with 2-pairs.
The only full-house possible is 86, becouse is not aggressive and he just bet/call the turn with bottom two pair. Is it possible ? maybe a weak play by him.
How many times does he have a trips and how many times does he have a full-house ?
Considering #combinations there are too many times that he has trips and very few times with the full-house. If I have 66% equity I have to 3-bet on the river.
I must to be ahead 2 times of 3 and when I was playing I've "decided" that this condition was true (even if I didnt know the #combinations exaclty). Without K8 and 98 I've "seen" that this condition was extremely easy
8 's "possible" are 8:h e 8:d
6 's "possible" are 6:d , 6:s and 6:c
so 2x3 = 6 possible full-house... very very few combinations !
Even if I decide that 98 is possible on his range, nothing change!! Other 6 full-house and 12 full-house totally.
But, how many trips ? sooo muchhh ![]()
I dont believe he folds an 8 on a blinds battle on that super draw-heavy board
with equilator... I put on his range 86 and 98 also

there are 112 combinations (not sure about that, becouse there are dead cards on the board that probably would be removed on #112 )
- I dont know if Equilator in this screen counts 86 without 8:c 8:s 6:h (on the board)... but not too much difference
He beats me 12 times on a total of 112 combinations, even if the situation is 12 / 90 is great again !
My equity is good enough to make a 3-bet (almost 76%)
http://www.PokerStrategy.com
Operation canceled... 2,924,554 games processed in 1 seconds.
Board: Kh 9c 8s 8c 6h
Dead:
Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 75.986 % 75.986 % 0.000 % 24.014 % 7d5c
Player 2: 24.014 % 24.014 % 0.000 % 75.986 % Q8s, J8s, T8s, 98s, 85s+, A8o, Q8o, J8o, T8o, 98o, 86o+
I've removed hands like 85o and worse and A8s that he would probably 3-bet preflop and/or raise on the flop... but again nothing changes (if I put these hands on his range I have more equity)
hands like 85, 87, T8 got 1 pair + gut-shot on the turn and I think are all possible (he would see the river to improve his hand)
hands like J8 and Q8 are less possible, but on a blinds-battle I think he would play however even If I show strength, and I've considered all 98 combinations, so I think the range is almost ok.
Easy 3-bet!... The interesting thing is that if I consider K8 combinations I have 67% equity (Try if you want) : 3-bet again !
So here my play:
River: 8♣ K♥ 9♣ 6♥ 8♠ ($70, 2 active)
Hero bets $10, BB raises to $20, Hero raises to $30, BB calls $10.
Final Pot: $127, $3 raked
Hero, net: $62, Won at showdown, has 5♣ 7♦ (a Nine High Straight)
BB, net: -$65, Lost at showdown, has 8♥ Q♥ (Three of a Kind, Eights)
he shows Q8s with a flush draw on the turn and I dont know if he would fold Q8 without the flush draw after my turn c/r ?? ![]()
I dont know if he would be playes hands like J8 and Q8 without the flush draw, but I think there are not too much difference on my equity if I remove some J8/Q8 combinations.
When I was playing my analys was a basic-analys but I've seen good
and play right. Now I'm surprised that I had so much equity
He wrote on chat "what a missclick" or something like this, he believes that I've clicked the wrong button ... and I was interesting to analyse this hand with Equilator