KJ 3bet pot monster draw

I prefer calling flop and turn because I don't see villain cbetting on this flop with air often because it hits our range better than his + we have tons of hands that will call his cbets.

So he does not have that much air in his range --> don't raise.

Could we shove river repping the flush when he checks otr? Imo villain rarely has the flush when he checks on the river so we will get folds often. Also we don't have that much showdown value.

Do the math before you shove. (A gentler bet may have much better EV.)

I like the way you played this. OTR I would bluff.

would bet small otr

Originally posted by Tinsley15
would bet small otr

Why small? Idea is that he folds his AQ.

I can make a bet here OTR.

Originally posted by la55i

Originally posted by Tinsley15
would bet small otr

Why small? Idea is that he folds his AQ.

You will get called by flushes. No need to make it bigger.

Originally posted by nitrol

Originally posted by la55i

Originally posted by Tinsley15
would bet small otr

Why small? Idea is that he folds his AQ.

You will get called by flushes. No need to make it bigger.

What flush is going to check OTR?

Who knows? Weak flushes...

Weak flushes might yes. But would those doublebarrel postflop? Well, it is possible. But if we try to bluff shouldn't we make it that big villain would be able to fold something.

Who knows. I would like to see his river aggression stat .

I doubt we get very reliable in 267 hands.

Nevertheless. Just to show tendency.

Originally posted by la55i
Weak flushes might yes. But would those doublebarrel postflop? Well, it is possible. But if we try to bluff shouldn't we make it that big villain would be able to fold something.

The obvious golden rule of bluffing is to bet enough to get the job done, but not much more than that. That extra 50-100% (or whatever) may not have the desired effect in terms of extra folds. It just might eat up all +EV. Not saying shoving is blatantly wrong, just saying maximizing folds is not the objective.

Totally agree. Why pay a stack when a chunk of it will do the same...

Yes I know. I wasn't going to bet huge but a bit bigger than small. If small is around 1/4 - 1/3 I think it might be a bit too small to fold out Qx for example.

35-40% max.

I can agree with 40%.

You can get on the bigger side of this range but bigger seems off.