The problem is fishes are not really aggressive. So why do you want to induce bluffs? You think we are ahead or behind his range ott? We could still get value against worse Ax or strong Kx-s. Maybe he will even continue with gs. With a 1/2 bet ott he will hardly fold anything from his range.
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We are in a situation Way Ahead/ Way Behind. We need to keep the pot small. This is not a spot to make big bets or moves.
Originally posted by nitrol
We are in a situation Way Ahead/ Way Behind. We need to keep the pot small. This is not a spot to make big bets or moves.
This ^^
Originally posted by la55i
Originally posted by nitrol
We are in a situation Way Ahead/ Way Behind. We need to keep the pot small. This is not a spot to make big bets or moves.This ^^
Of course... 
And you think that calling the river potbet is ok against an unknown fish? We are just guessing there. If he is aggressive, yes he could have bluffs but otherwise not really. Instead just make a range for the fish and decide if it is profitable to make a bet or not. However i calculated it in equilab even if he is folding like gutshots and Kx-s (except KT,KJ,KQ), we still have 57-58%. It is even better if he calls with them. He will never fold any Ax for a bet. And sometimes as I mentioned earlier better second pairs are coming as well
And you think that calling the river potbet is ok against an unknown fish?
Yes. We check turn and he could be stabbing with weaker Ax, Kx, missed flush draw. Since we decided to check turn I think we can bluffcatch this one.
We check turn in order to make him bet with a wide range vs which we stand ok. This way we give him a chance to bluff at us.
And we have 2 streets of value anyway...
And what hands are bluffing? Some gutshots and thats all. His call otf suggests that either he has Kx,Ax or draws (gs). And its like a tendency on micros that the fishes are passive. So make those draws pay ott
Total air is bluffing. Turned FD is bluffing.
His flop call doesn't mean he has Kx or Ax.
Mmmm everyone has seen active fishes on micros... And they are most frequent...
How about him play a smaller Ax this way...
There are 2 FD that miss... There is plenty of hands that may bet in order to steal the pot.
You cannot say from his calling otf that he has air. He called in a mw pot. If he call our turn bet with anything better than a KT we will have 58%. If he calls with gs we have even more. And maybe he will call with 9x-s as well. IMO not betting the turn was a mistake
Where are the other Ax-s? He will have far more Aces then that. I think we all can agree that he is a fish. He will limp maybe 40%. Now check the equilab and give him a 40% range. All of the aces will be there. Your range is VERY tight for a fish. You also forgot to include some gutshots.
We actually cant say for sure that villain is a fish. We have only 4 hands on him. With good luck he could easily have had 3 hands that he can flat with. Villain is unknown and we cannot give him very wide range. Although limping pre from utg looks fishy. I think betting ott is ok but checking is not a mistake.
I agree that villain is limp/calling and this is not a good sign. But also we have no other info and we cannot assign him much bigger ranges.
Yes, he can have bigger range but how big and what hands go in it, we cannot say right now.
MP2 44.00% 40.00% 4.00% AsJd
MP3 56.00% 52.00% 4.00% KK+, 99, 55, 33, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, AJo+, A9o
We are guessing here....