PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 139.4 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
Hero (SB): 104.8 BB
BB: 136.2 BB (VPIP: 27.94, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 16.00, Hands: 69)
UTG: 98.6 BB
MP: 99.2 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
CO: 108.4 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♣
fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, BTN calls 6 BB
Flop: (19 BB, 2 players) 6♦ Q♦ 8♠
Hero bets 10.2 BB, BTN calls 10.2 BB
Turn: (39.4 BB, 2 players) 8♣
Hero bets 22.2 BB, BTN raises to 120.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 63.4 BB and is all-in
River: (210.6 BB, 2 players) 8♥
I know that many of you might tell that this is an overplay.
But just let's think for a moment - what does he shove here? Full houses (66? QQ he 4-bets usually), quad? I don't really think so. The only better hands that might play this way are 98s, 87s, A8s.
My experience says that it is a spot, when he semi-bluffs a lot OTT and he migh have hands like AdXd, JdTd, Td9d, KdJd, KdTd etc.
Let's take a look to equilab. If I give him this range, I have a clear call:
Stół: 6♦Q♦8♠ 8♣
Equity Wygrana Podział
MP2 43.53% 43.53% 0.00% { AcQh }
MP3 56.47% 56.47% 0.00% { A8s, 98s, 87s, AdJd, KdJd, AdTd, KdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Td9d }
Ofc he might have a little bit more flush draws.