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call a FD OTR vs raise

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shecky
Joined: 20.08.2009

opponent is 26/18 after a 40hands and 1.1AF
May be PF I should 3bet here, but my question is about the turn call.
Is it ok to call here since our pot odds are 28% and we have equity of 25% against (JJ+,99-77,AJs,KJs,QJs,J9s+,T9s,AJo,T9o) or may be this range is too big for him
Give me a hint please

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $7.90 (79 bb)
Hero (BB): $11.85 (118.5 bb)
MP: $11.98 (119.8 bb)
CO: $9.54 (95.4 bb)
BTN: $10 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q♠: A♠:
MP folds, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65) 7♥: 8♣: J♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($0.65) 3♠: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.40, CO raises to $1.30, Hero calls $0.90

River: ($3.25) 2♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $3.30, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$3.25 pot ($0.15 rake)
Final Board: 7♥: 8♣: J♠: 3♠: 2♣:
Hero mucked Q♠: A♠: and lost (-$1.60 net)
CO mucked and won $3.10 ($1.50 net)


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6 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

You may only have 7 outs. I would fold this one, especially that villain is not BS.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

River is a fold. I will see about turn later.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Turn spot you can decide with a calculator but I doubt you have enough equity to call.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

We draw to nuts.... maybe we can call...? Though not all spades are outs... or clear outs, as they pair the board...


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Originally posted by shecky
...pot odds are 28% and we have equity of 25% against...
...

Pot odds are 2.35:0.90. The quantity that is 28% is another number. Please don't use that terminology, even if some PS coaches do. It is the wrong terminology and serves mostly to confuse.

In fact, had you used the correct terminology, you'd have had the answer to your question built in in the post. Namely, "The required equity of my hand versus his perceived range for a profitable call given the pot odds is 28%, and my equity versus the range as I perceive it is 25%..." Thus you fold since 28% is required and you have only 25%.


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oI2ange
Joined: 21.07.2015

Really strange hand. You would think that villain would bet most sets and 2 pairs + on this flop texture, especially IP. If you call the turn, you need to turn your hand into a bluff on some rivers (any 4 straight river sounds right, maybe even board pairing one too, like the J) and probably lead those cards.


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