4$ AK in 3bet pot deep stacked

I would most likely 4bet here, flatting is okay but then we are OOP and we are going to miss the flop about 60% of the time therefore giving the villain an advantage over us. As played, against such tight player calling the flop is a huge mistake unless you have info that he is going to give up on later streets. Players who have 6% 3bet is very low and never bluff when they 3bet (hence why I prefer 4bet/get it in line). Check/call might make sense if you have AhKx but still you are check calling the flop to miss the turn about 80% of the time which an ideal strategy to burn chips. Therefore, just fold flop and move on to the next one.

Interesting 3bet range you gave him. I expect 99-TT is more like in his 3bet range than a hand like KJ. So It’s more likely 99+ and AJs+ and AQ+ or so. So against this range you flipping pre-flop, but I expect you have still some fold equity pre-flop and I would go for a 4bet to approximately 800 and her-evaluate on further action.

As played I would give up the flop the flop as well. On the river it will be close, because you only beat a hand like QQ here.

Cheers,
SDK1987

But why would be 3bet 99, TT? Aren't those simply calling hands?

So I've calculated a little bit. If he 3bets 99+,AJs+,AQo+, and ships it only with JJ+,AKs,AKo, then he will only continue in 45% after 3betting.

9*6+75= 129 (antes+blinds)
112->300->710 (let's say I 4bet to 710)

598/(129+300+710)= 52,5% (amount I have to put in to 4bet/amount I can win) (So since he folds 55% it's profitable to 4bet)

3090 (My chips remaining after my OR)
3202*2+129=6533 (Pot when we move AI)
0,45*6533*0,4-3090= -1914,06 (EV of push)

0,55*1139=626,45 (EV of 4bet)

So the way i've calculated, it's minus EV to go broke against this player. What factors did I miss out, how do see this situation?

I'm not sure how close we were to the money, so this is only ChipEV.

Buy [Edited by SDK1987] and do the calculations there. The best EV calculator out there, every time I had done calcs for similar cases, it has always shown a profit.

Hello Rihard4a

Beware that it isn’t allowed by https://forums.pokerstrategy.com/forum/thread.php?postid=2103409#post2103409 to make promotion for tools that you need to buy for and we don’t support it. That’s why I have edited your post.

Cheers,
SDK1987