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Villian shoves 293.6 BB on 34J9 all spades. I have the second nut flush.

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hdunlop
Joined: 15.12.2016

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 150.2 BB (VPIP: 6.06, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
SB: 84.4 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 42)
BB: 53.4 BB
UTG: 99.8 BB
UTG+1: 107.4 BB (VPIP: 8.00, PFR: 5.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 75)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 11.64, PFR: 7.94, 3Bet Preflop: 1.33, Hands: 190)
Hero (MP+1): 429.6 BB
MP+2: 313.6 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
CO: 94.8 BB (VPIP: 3.70, PFR: 3.70, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 27)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♠ A♦

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, MP+2 calls 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (10.4 BB, 3 players) 3♠ 4♠ J♠
Hero bets 6 BB, MP+2 raises to 17 BB, fold, Hero calls 11 BB

Turn: (44.4 BB, 2 players) 9♠
Hero checks, MP+2 bets 293.6 BB and is all-in, fold

MP+2 wins 42.6 BB

Is it possible for my opponent to have anything but the nuts here?


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12 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Heh, tough spot. Or actually it is not. Imo this is a clear fold.
He can have bluffs. He could be tilted. It also looks fishy to shove 6x pot here. But still the price is too high and you can't call.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Is it possible for him to have worse? Yes.
Does that matter? No.

Good fold :f_drink:


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hdunlop
Joined: 15.12.2016

Thought so. Thanks guys!


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arthurbentley
Joined: 12.10.2010

Three to a flush and I would fold to a huge shove holding second nutz unless the villian was a maniac. Four to a flush it's an instant fold without even thinking about it.


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DocMuellfreak
Joined: 02.11.2006

Originally posted by nsavov
Is it possible for him to have worse? Yes.
Does that matter? No.

Good fold :f_drink:

Same thoughts here. He is might have a bluff here or a worse flush, but the price is way to high to call in this spot. I think it is a pretty clear decision that is tough to realize. Thus: Good fold.


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Fanko
Joined: 24.08.2010

It is actually very close, but fold is probably ok.


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BadHabit1989
Joined: 14.07.2016

just calculate how often you have to be right.
Since you are at the table and dont have infinite time I would Snapguess my chances. I would guess I need to be right 40-45% to be profitable and snapfold.


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Fanko
Joined: 24.08.2010

Well, based on odds alone u can never call but that shove is so retarded that i would never respect it.


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BadHabit1989
Joined: 14.07.2016

do you think you will win this hand more often than 40%?
2nd best case scenario is he has a set and is mad int tiltjammed, even than he beats us 20% of the times.
best case scenario he has a small flush from the flop and is ultra mad!

from my experience as a micro-stakes-pleb those things just dont happen that often anymore in 2k17 Micro-Stakes :(


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Fanko
Joined: 24.08.2010

I know i should fold but on the micros I just do not care enough and will call every single time vs that line.


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

You was raised OTF and shove in deep OTT. To me it is an easy easy fold. May be your villain over plays his set, but it is to expensive to watch in deep stacks. Good laydown.:f_thumbsup:


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Very easy fold, having in mind the flop action and the stack sizes.


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