hehe, fish ^^ ♦
yes, i agree that push is way better than C/C, for the reasons mentioned above, + because FD and other draws would often play differently on flop or turn + there are hardly any busted draws that don't have SD value.
i was actually trying to decide between push and C/F, but if what twicet says is true then i guess it's an easy push. at the time i didn't realise that i only needed ~16.5%. i think villain will often play KQ, QT, Q8 this way. How often will bad players call Jx here after having top pair on the flop?
Originally posted by cindy1985
Why don't you ship it on the turn? Small overbet, and I doubt he will let his FD/TP go there...
As played, I guess c/c is nice if he is likely to bet his busted FD: I don't see him folding any A... and I don't see him calling with a J or a Q. I don't see you folding either, he only has to be bluffing 1/6th of the time for this to be profitable.
I hardly ever overbet, although i don't actually know whether it's always a bad thing to do. In capNL you obviously often encounter situations where you could cap with a small-ish overbet. Can I have some other opinions on this kind of situation?
I would be betting $44 into $32. I think villain usually folds normal draws to a bet like that.