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Aqx IP in weird squeezed spot river decision

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Jaunais
Joined: 24.01.2014

Opp is unknows, which has shown a lot of aggression for 53hands i have on him till this hand. Stats are 41/37/0.
No postflop info.

Do we call of river here?
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Jaunais
Joined: 24.01.2014
Spoiler

I called, OPP showed TT


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I don’t expect he would isolate to wide out of position with 3 limpers in the pot and we have only a bluff catcher on the river. He should know you will play only top pair or better after the call on the flop and turn. I expect he has most of the time a better hand and I would fold the river.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

that is a maniac i call here.....he raise 37 percent of hands pre...
this is his range here on the river i would give him

29BB call für 140bb pot ....you need to be right like 26% should be a call....


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I don’t think he would isolate with a 34% range out of position against 3 limpers as well. Otherwise he’s crazy and then you can easy 3bet for value in the BB against him. Also 3-barrel bluffing against someone that has at least top pair makes no sense ether I think. That’s why I expect he would check most top pair hands on the river and mist draws as well. Then you will never reach the 26% you need to call.


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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

Originally posted by SDK1987
That’s why I expect he would check most top pair hands on the river and mist draws as well. Then you will never reach the 26% you need to call.

yeah does a lot of sense....
so you think he will got there a bluff in ten times something like that?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

If he’s thinking he will get you of top pair he could do it, but he’s committing himself already on the turn with his stack what bluffing makes less sense as well.


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Jaunais
Joined: 24.01.2014

so if we fold here hand like AQ then we def are exploitable as we cap our range pre also with our ISO flat.


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