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AQs vs Fish Botsize bet river

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RentzEst
Joined: 05.09.2015

I called his river bet because , his betzise seemed to me suspicious.
When watching his stats, it does not seem like a good player

Winamax, $0.45 Buy-in (200/400 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 31,972 (79.9 bb)
BB: 19,140 (47.9 bb)
UTG+2: 33,962 (84.9 bb)
MP1: 14,845 (37.1 bb)
Hero (MP2): 18,935 (47.3 bb)
MP3: 24,603 (61.5 bb)
CO: 45,023 (112.6 bb)
BTN: 23,628 (59.1 bb) 96/20 (H:26) 3bet - 31

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A♠: Q♠:
2 folds, Hero raises to 948, 2 folds, BTN calls 948, 2 folds

Flop: (2,896) Q♦: 9♣: 4♥: (2 players)
Hero bets 1,390, BTN calls 1,390

Turn: (5,676) 6♠: (2 players)
Hero bets 2,724, BTN calls 2,724

River: (11,124) T♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 11,124, Hero calls 11,124

Results:

Spoiler

33,372 pot
Final Board: Q♦: 9♣: 4♥: 6♠: T♣:
Hero showed A♠: Q♠: and lost (-16,236 net)
BTN showed J♥: K♥: and won 33,372 (17,136 net)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

His stats look fishy for sure. I would most likely bet more for value on every street to get the opportunity to shove for value on the river. If you bet like 2/3 pot on every street it will work for you.

As played his pot size bet on the river is suspicious for sure, but we only beat a bluff I think and a fish could have 2 pair and even a straight sometimes and we need to win 1 out 3 times to make a call profitable and I don’t think that’s likely against a loose passive fish or you have good reads on him.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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