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Hot 109. pre itm.

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pleasecallit
Joined: 27.08.2009

PokerStars - 250/500 Ante 65 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 13.19 BB (VPIP: 8.89, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 45)
BB: 18.1 BB (VPIP: 15.71, PFR: 10.45, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 70)
UTG: 22.36 BB (VPIP: 22.22, PFR: 18.18, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 45)
UTG+1: 54.54 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
Hero (MP): 28.17 BB
CO: 8.82 BB (VPIP: 28.95, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 39)
BTN: 19.77 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)

7 players post ante of 0 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.41 BB) Hero has K♣ J♣

UTG raises to 2.6 BB, fold, Hero calls 2.6 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1.6 BB

Flop: (9.21 BB, 3 players) 9♦ 4♣ K♥
BB checks, UTG bets 5.8 BB, Hero calls 5.8 BB, fold

Turn: (20.81 BB, 2 players) K♦
UTG bets 13.83 BB and is all-in, Hero

Spoiler

calls 13.83 BB

River: (48.47 BB, 2 players) T♦

UTG shows Q♣ K♠ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 70%, Flop 82%, Turn 86%)
Hero shows K♣ J♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings)
(Pre 30%, Flop 18%, Turn 14%)
UTG wins 48.47 BB

I satalited into this turbo mtt.
That short it can be controverse to flat this KJs here with no huge implied odds. So too much greed one can say.

As played;
there is for sure a argument he dont have consitent raisesizings here. I think he use this sizeing with a lot of medium pairs or is weighted heavyly towards it, so i was for sure in that kind of unflexible thinking involved.

The flopsizing is polarizing to Toppair and wants huge protection, or some QQ TT which wanna be sure if he gets call he is beat.

Once we are at the turn (again i belive now i shouldnt be that far with that stack, because its prob a Hand which wont make that insane huge profit) Hands that we beat are KTs which is rather unlikely, AA also rather unlikely(why so huge raise sizing pre?), so he got QQ JJ TT or AK, KQ. THe last two hands are more likely. No?
As well as this isnt my stackes i should go rather for solid plays and not theese marginal spots.

Bubble was like at least 25 spots away.
Curious to hear some comments. Thanks. GL


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

We only playing for 22bb effective now the biggest stack has folded his hand and I would push or fold in spots like this. The UTG seems like a decent player and KJs isn’t in bad shape if he would call a shove with his calling range and we have also a lot of fold equity. Without any reads on him I would 3bet shove here.

As played I would go for it with trips. If he has us beat it’s a cooler I think with only 1 king left

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Fold pre with these stacks. Probably fold pre even deep stacked. Don't hate flatting on button, maybe cutoff. As played pre, super standard postflop.


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