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[SH] KTo BUvsBB

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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

PokerStars - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 241.5 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
Hero (BTN): 100 BB
SB: 159.5 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 12.93, 3Bet Preflop: 7.55, Hands: 152)
BB: 103.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 3)
UTG: 99.5 BB (VPIP: 28.69, PFR: 20.16, 3Bet Preflop: 8.13, Hands: 631)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♣ K♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.5 BB, fold, BB calls 1.5 BB

Flop: (5.5 BB, 2 players) 6♣ 4♣ A♦
BB checks, Hero bets 3 BB, BB calls 3 BB

Turn: (11.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣
BB checks, Hero bets 7 BB, BB raises to 19 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

River: (49.5 BB, 2 players) K♥
BB bets 21 BB, fold

BB wins 48 BB

OTF i standard Cbet vs weider calling range BBvsBU.
After analyze i think OTT is better bet 6BB.
Against his 2bet we need 33.62 Equity.
His 2bet range OTT could be AhKh,AcKc,AhQh,AsQs,AcJc,AhKd,AhKc,AsKd,AsKh,AsKc,AcKd,AcKh,AhQd,AhQs,AsQd,AsQh,AcQd,AcQh,AcQs,AhJc,AsJc,AcJd,AcJh,AcJs,AcTd,AcTh,AcTs
I have 13,131% Equity against this range.
This means with implied odds if i will get 2,56x 12BB = 31BB bet on River to be break even.

River looks like this i dont think he will fold on river many combinations to my bet or Re-raise to 40BB but still there are rivers where we are 40/60 and i cant bet 40BB on this rivers i think better is fold Turn to his 2bet am i right?


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4 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Now, flop is ok to attack Axx boards.
What is the exact purpose of your turn bet? What hands will call and what will fold?


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Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

I dont usually open KTo from cutoff. I'd rather play AXs, suited connectors rather than Kxo hands. So i would fold preflop from CU but this might be too nitty for some ppl.

As played, you have position, a hand that can improve and i would just check behind the turn. Also, What is the range that villian folds to a turn bet after he called a flop bet ?

As played - insta fold to the turn raise. You might already be drowing dead


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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

Yeah Turn bet can be mistake.
i think his flop calling range can be ATs+,A5s-A2s,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,ATo+
A2c-A5c too can be added to his 2bet range.

In Range AhKh,AcKc,AhQh,AsQs,AhJh,AsJs,AcJc,AhTh,AsTs,9c8c,8c7c,Ah5h,As5s,Ac5c,Ah4h,As4s,Ah3h,As3s,Ac3c,Ah2h,As2s,Ac2c,AhKd,AhKc,AsKd,AsKh,AsKc,AcKd,AcKh,AhQd,AhQs,AsQd,AsQh,AcQd,AcQh,AcQs,AhJd,AhJs,AhJc,AsJd,AsJh,AsJc,AcJd,AcJh,AcJs,AhTd,AhTs,AsTd,AsTh,AcTd,AcTh,AcTs
He will have:
13,5% Flush(7 combos from 52) (never Fold)
21,2% 2 Pairs(11 combos from 52) (This can fold but i dont think he will fold this 100% times special in hands where he have 2Pairs + flushdraw)
65,4% Top pair(34 combos from 52) (Here he can fold)
21,2% Nut Flushdraw(11 combos from 52)
3,85% 2ND Nut Flushdraw(2 combos from 52)
3,85% 3ED Nut Flushdraw(2 combos from 52)

Hands with Nut-> 3Rd Flushdraw will never fold this means: 28,9% of his range

71,2% This are all hands No flushdraw (37 combos from 52)

72,7% 2 Pairs without flushdraw(8 Combos from 11)
75,9% Top Pair without Flushdraw (22 combos from 34)

Thats 30 combos from 52 where eh cant hit flush.
It looks Cbet turn is not bad idea and vs his call we have still 17,52% equity vs hands where are excluded hands without flushdraws or am I wrong?


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filip212
Joined: 30.05.2010

Originally posted by Sunrise1912
I dont usually open KTo from cutoff. I'd rather play AXs, suited connectors rather than Kxo hands. So i would fold preflop from CU but this might be too nitty for some ppl.

As played, you have position, a hand that can improve and i would just check behind the turn. Also, What is the range that villian folds to a turn bet after he called a flop bet ?

As played - insta fold to the turn raise. You might already be drowing dead

I dont have KTo in CO range :) But this is played from Button :f_drink:


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